NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	84		Excitement	2.9 [1163]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +12.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	109		Comeback	2.1 [892]		LVP	Ron Mercer (DEN): -12.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	9	64%	0.03	5	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	29%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	58%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.02	0.05	8	68%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	10	20%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	15	28%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	16	71%	0.18	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	5	50%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	84%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	3	31%	0.00	1	0.00	7	29%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	67%	-0.00	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	16	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.03
Horace Grant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	60.8	0.8	29.2	15.7	23.2	1.6	32.2	163.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.1%

SEA +6.0%

DEN -1.1%

SEA +2.7%

SEA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	15.2	80.0	106.9	101.7
season	14.8	14.9		101.5	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.1	14.3	15.2	14.6	14.5
SEA	14.7	14.0	13.0	11.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-28	31	15.1	14.4	0.71	10.0	14.2	-4.17
Cory Alexander	33	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-26	27	13.8	14.9	-1.09	11.8	14.0	-2.11
Roy Rogers	33	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-24	23	13.2	15.1	-1.88	13.5	13.1	0.37
Ryan Bowen	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-23	21	13.9	15.0	-1.17	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Keon Clark	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-18	11	14.2	15.0	-0.86	13.7	12.5	1.28
Antonio McDyess	49	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	-5	-15	14.8	14.3	0.53	13.0	13.5	-0.53
Ron Mercer	58	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	-6	-13	14.8	14.2	0.58	13.5	13.0	0.42
James Posey	47	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	-4	-17	15.3	13.9	1.31	12.7	13.7	-0.96
Raef LaFrentz	68	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.26	-24	-1	-23	14.8	14.0	0.82	13.7	12.5	1.19
Nick Van Exel	61	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.28	-25	0	-25	15.1	13.8	1.27	13.7	12.7	1.04

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	74	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.27	26	-1	27	13.9	11.7	2.20	14.5	14.6	-0.03
Vin Baker	70	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.37	26	-1	27	14.0	11.7	2.22	14.6	14.4	0.21
Brent Barry	52	55	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.22	19	6	13	13.4	13.2	0.19	15.1	13.9	1.29
Horace Grant	58	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	8	9	13.3	13.3	-0.04	15.0	13.9	1.14
Rashard Lewis	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	17	-9	13.2	13.3	-0.10	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Chuck Person	22	20	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	19	-13	12.1	13.6	-1.45	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Vernon Maxwell	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	16	-7	15.8	12.3	3.52	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Ruben Patterson	57	57	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.18	9	16	-7	13.0	13.6	-0.66	14.8	14.2	0.64
Greg Foster	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	23	-21	14.9	12.9	1.99	13.0	14.9	-1.87
Emanual Davis	28	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	26	-27	11.7	13.9	-2.20	14.6	14.5	0.03
Vladimir Stepania	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	9.6	14.0	-4.35	14.3	14.6	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 71, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ATL 83, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%