inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 83 Excitement3.4 [1126] MVPDerek Fisher (LAL): +5.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 96 Comeback2.0 [978] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -19.3%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Solomon Jones0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.02558%0.0210.00250%0.00
Randolph Morris0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02170%0.0010.00862%0.00
Thomas Gardner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Acie Law-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.07-0.00-0.07933%-0.0010.003100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02944%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.020,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.011045%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.010.061152%-0.0300.00333%-0.01
Al Horford-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00643%-0.021-0.012100%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00943%-0.021-0.02560%-0.01
Maurice Evans-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.00-0.04517%-0.043-0.052100%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.190,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.12-0.040.041738%-0.094-0.10367%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.021070%0.102-0.0500%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01-0.03743%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.05856%0.0420.0020%-0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.031060%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.010.031158%0.042-0.04450%-0.02
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Adam Morrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.07-0.00-0.07650%-0.0040.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.15-0.00-0.111020%-0.013-0.0200%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.02850%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.021045%-0.031-0.022100%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.021242%0.014-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.625.016.627.62.032.0129.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +39.6%
ATL -0.4%
LAL +11.8%
ATL -0.3%
ATL -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLLALNBAATLLALNBA
this game15.414.815.587.4100.0106.4
season15.814.9106.7110.6
opponent15.416.1102.6106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.816.016.713.415.4
LAL14.217.514.613.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario West17180.01-0.510.52-0.3412-253710.516.4-5.9811.215.6-4.38
Randolph Morris890.00-0.500.50-0.2910-23338.116.0-7.9211.115.2-4.05
Thomas Gardner14140.00-0.500.50-0.3211-24359.916.3-6.4811.215.4-4.18
Maurice Evans3536-0.13-0.370.240.14-9-4-515.915.10.8517.013.43.55
Zaza Pachulia4848-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-7115.015.8-0.7716.612.93.69
Solomon Jones3334-0.15-0.350.20-0.305-182314.415.9-1.4614.115.1-0.98
Acie Law4646-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-141514.616.1-1.5415.314.31.05
Josh Smith5150-0.26-0.24-0.010.18-152-1716.414.22.1015.014.50.50
Marvin Williams6866-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-163-1916.412.93.4315.712.82.88
Mike Bibby5354-0.41-0.09-0.330.11-185-2316.513.92.6414.315.5-1.19
Al Horford4445-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-185-2316.514.42.1314.215.3-1.18
Joe Johnson5860-0.49-0.01-0.470.16-229-3116.413.82.5714.115.9-1.77

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol60600.51-0.010.52-0.1924-113514.115.9-1.7716.812.93.90
Kobe Bryant57560.390.110.27-0.1418-52314.315.5-1.2316.214.31.90
Trevor Ariza34360.380.120.25-0.1819-62516.513.92.6217.614.03.59
Luke Walton48460.290.210.08-0.061211114.415.2-0.8115.815.00.87
Jordan Farmar36360.270.230.030.18310-715.714.21.4615.815.10.73
Derek Fisher52510.230.27-0.03-0.06103714.714.9-0.1915.615.10.54
Lamar Odom64650.230.27-0.04-0.121211115.912.63.2316.113.82.36
Josh Powell27250.120.38-0.270.32-720-2713.115.4-2.3212.216.5-4.31
Sasha Vujacic31320.100.40-0.30-0.0558-316.613.92.7515.415.4-0.01
Adam Morrison19180.000.50-0.500.29-1023-3311.515.6-4.0611.516.3-4.79
Shannon Brown16150.000.50-0.500.29-1023-3311.215.5-4.3110.516.3-5.75
Chris Mihm3635-0.010.51-0.520.31-1124-3515.914.11.7712.916.8-3.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 95, DAL 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
BKN 96, NYK 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,196.1%
WAS 76, ORL 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%