inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 99 Excitement6.0 [607] MVPJaren Jackson (SAS): +10.8%
San Antonio Spurs 89 Comeback1.6 [125] LVPDavid Robinson (SAS): -21.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0.110,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.110.14-0.000.031969%0.141-0.03786%0.02
Tracy Murray0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.06-0.031254%0.142-0.06450%-0.02
Chris Whitney0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.000.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Michael Smith0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.00571%0.0600.004100%0.02
Aaron Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,00.02-0.020.00853%0.0000.001100%0.00
Reggie Jordan-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jahidi White-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.041437%-0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Gerard King-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.001142%-0.032-0.07475%-0.00
Ike Austin-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.00520%-0.053-0.0800%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.02-0.01967%0.1100.0000%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.004100%0.113-0.083100%0.02
Chucky Brown0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.00554%-0.011-0.043100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.040.001752%-0.041-0.021070%-0.01
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01330%-0.0600.00475%0.01
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00542%-0.032-0.05250%-0.02
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.050.01825%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
David Robinson0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.14-0.070.001640%-0.113-0.10875%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.325.516.726.22.532.4130.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +42.4%
WAS +1.6%
WAS +17.2%
SAS -6.9%
SAS -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASSASNBAWASSASNBA
this game15.714.915.2104.295.7101.7
season15.515.5101.1101.6
opponent15.414.895.9104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.615.516.715.115.7
SAS16.413.315.314.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Smith68670.65-0.150.790.2115-52015.416.5-1.1115.613.02.59
Ike Austin58570.450.050.390.1891815.915.40.4814.815.0-0.20
Rod Strickland69670.350.150.200.1573415.616.0-0.3214.914.80.08
Tracy Murray43420.330.170.150.0691815.316.1-0.8213.416.1-2.73
Mitch Richmond77750.300.200.090.1264216.014.71.2415.213.61.60
Reggie Jordan18180.200.30-0.090.0946-214.716.0-1.2413.615.2-1.60
Aaron Williams45410.150.35-0.190.0737-415.815.70.1014.115.5-1.35
Chris Whitney26260.150.35-0.200.0637-416.015.60.3214.814.9-0.08
Juwan Howard52520.140.36-0.220.1119-816.115.30.8215.813.72.10
Gerard King99-0.090.59-0.680.03-414-1815.715.7-0.0711.315.3-3.95
Jahidi White1011-0.120.62-0.74-0.03-313-1616.615.60.9818.014.53.51

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Samaki Walker11120.06-0.560.63-0.054-141812.815.2-2.3615.215.8-0.55
Malik Rose2526-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-9815.014.90.1916.015.60.43
Jerome Kersey3535-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-6214.715.0-0.2616.315.40.93
Chucky Brown3839-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-6215.814.31.5015.515.9-0.45
Avery Johnson6668-0.22-0.280.07-0.220-101015.114.40.6516.015.01.07
Mario Elie5961-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.24-1-9814.915.0-0.1115.815.70.08
Jaren Jackson5152-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.06-9-1-814.415.5-1.1815.615.9-0.29
Terry Porter3030-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-122-1414.515.1-0.5514.916.1-1.26
David Robinson6869-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.15-9-1-814.915.0-0.1915.616.0-0.43
Tim Duncan8283-0.560.06-0.63-0.15-144-1815.212.82.3615.815.20.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 100, NJN 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,095.0%
MIL 106, CLE 940.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,094.3%
SAC 110, LAC 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,093.7%