NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Excitement	5.9 [625]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +23.6%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	2.0 [1082]		LVP	Chucky Brown (SAS): -13.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	13	64%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	22	56%	0.03	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.03
Obinna Ekezie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.02	22	72%	0.30	3	-0.06	14	86%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	82%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	63%	0.12	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.06
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	57%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	26.5	15.8	26.6	2.0	35.2	128.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.4%

SAS +24.7%

SAS +9.9%

VAN -14.3%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SAS	NBA	VAN	SAS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.2	100.0	106.5	101.7
season	15.9	15.5		99.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.0		95.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.8	16.0	16.4	15.4	16.4
SAS	14.3	16.7	12.4	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	65	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-11	14	16.2	17.0	-0.85	13.4	18.4	-5.01
Brent Price	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	0	-8	16.2	16.5	-0.28	17.4	14.2	3.25
Obinna Ekezie	28	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-5	2	17.1	16.1	1.08	17.3	13.8	3.47
Cherokee Parks	77	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-6	4	16.1	18.1	-1.98	15.9	10.7	5.21
Othella Harrington	62	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-4	0	16.8	15.5	1.34	14.4	16.1	-1.66
Mike Bibby	71	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	16.3	16.8	-0.58	13.7	19.7	-6.05
Dennis Scott	35	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	1	-10	17.1	16.0	1.07	13.4	15.9	-2.51
Felipe Lopez	26	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	3	-14	17.0	16.2	0.85	18.4	13.4	5.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	15.9	17.9	-2.00	14.7	15.9	-1.20

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	45	44	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-8	24	16.2	13.7	2.47	16.6	16.2	0.38
Tim Duncan	91	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-1	10	15.2	4.0	11.16	16.6	9.5	7.05
Avery Johnson	71	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	4	0	13.6	19.3	-5.70	16.1	17.3	-1.16
Mario Elie	53	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	7	-6	13.2	17.2	-4.04	16.1	16.9	-0.79
Terry Porter	37	35	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	1	6	17.2	13.4	3.81	16.6	16.3	0.33
Malik Rose	23	22	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-1	10	14.3	15.1	-0.77	18.0	15.9	2.18
David Robinson	68	70	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	10	-12	16.1	11.8	4.27	15.8	18.5	-2.77
Felton Spencer	9	8	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	4	0	13.2	15.1	-1.88	18.0	16.2	1.76
Steve Kerr	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	10	-12	21.3	14.2	7.10	18.6	16.2	2.44
Chucky Brown	59	56	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	14	-20	13.5	17.4	-3.87	16.1	16.8	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.95,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.6%
DET 98, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
IND 101, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.92,1	93.3%