NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	77		Excitement	7.6 [310]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +24.5%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	2.1 [530]		LVP	Dale Davis (IND): -12.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Chucky Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	23	54%	0.02	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.05
Terry Porter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	15	48%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
David Robinson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.02	0.21	-0.02	20	51%	0.28	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.04	18	47%	0.07	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	4	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	9	54%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	31.5	17.6	25.2	2.0	33.2	133.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.0%

IND +11.0%

IND +11.2%

IND +8.5%

IND +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	IND	NBA	SAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.2	82.8	88.3	101.7
season	15.5	15.4		101.6	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.8	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	16.6	15.6	14.3	15.4
IND	17.9	12.8	15.7	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	37	36	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-8	10	15.4	15.3	0.04	15.5	15.4	0.04
Jaren Jackson	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-11	16	15.7	15.2	0.55	16.3	15.0	1.36
Steve Kerr	13	12	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-8	10	14.8	15.4	-0.59	18.0	15.1	2.93
Felton Spencer	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-4	2	3.0	15.5	-12.49	19.0	15.4	3.59
Chucky Brown	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-12	6	-18	15.9	14.5	1.35	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Mario Elie	66	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	15.3	15.4	-0.07	15.7	14.9	0.78
Terry Porter	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Tim Duncan	80	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-4	2	15.1	17.0	-1.91	15.8	12.6	3.18
Avery Johnson	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	14.9	16.7	-1.72	15.6	14.9	0.76
David Robinson	68	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	4	-14	15.8	14.0	1.80	14.9	16.8	-1.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	55	56	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.25	19	-13	32	14.5	16.8	-2.30	15.9	14.5	1.44
Rik Smits	68	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.32	10	-4	14	15.2	16.1	-0.87	15.5	15.0	0.55
Al Harrington	49	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-6	18	14.2	16.8	-2.55	15.5	15.2	0.26
Reggie Miller	82	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	1	4	15.7	13.8	1.85	15.1	17.1	-1.98
Mark Jackson	56	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	0	6	15.9	14.8	1.06	15.1	15.7	-0.65
Travis Best	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	6	-6	14.8	15.9	-1.06	15.7	15.1	0.65
Jalen Rose	57	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	11	-16	16.2	14.4	1.81	15.6	14.9	0.67
Sam Perkins	26	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	10	-14	16.1	15.2	0.87	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Austin Croshere	39	37	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	19	-32	16.8	14.5	2.30	14.5	15.9	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	92.5%
NJN 95, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.95,1	92.0%
BOS 86, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.78,0.66,0.93,1	91.4%