NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	99		Excitement	8.3 [206]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +11.9%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.7 [722]		LVP	Othella Harrington (VAN): -29.4%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obinna Ekezie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,-0.02,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	15	63%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.07
Dennis Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	13	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	7	33%	-0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.29	-0.04	-0.25	0.01	12	51%	-0.26	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.19

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.01	12	58%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	16	53%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.13,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.00	11	69%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.07
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.02	14	62%	-0.01	1	-0.04	12	58%	-0.05
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.5	29.3	16.8	28.1	1.8	45.2	144.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.4%

HOU +10.0%

HOU +10.2%

VAN -12.0%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	HOU	NBA	VAN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.2	108.8	109.7	101.7
season	15.9	15.4		99.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.0		103.5	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.2	16.6	15.9	17.4	16.0
HOU	15.8	15.4	13.6	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	30	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-8	13	17.0	15.5	1.57	16.5	14.7	1.83
Brent Price	25	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-4	5	17.8	15.3	2.51	15.6	15.2	0.37
Dennis Scott	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-5	7	16.1	15.9	0.26	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Cherokee Parks	62	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-2	1	15.1	17.9	-2.77	15.0	16.1	-1.08
Obinna Ekezie	41	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-2	1	17.3	14.9	2.48	15.5	15.2	0.29
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	55	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.8	16.3	-0.54	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Othella Harrington	72	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	5	-13	16.2	15.0	1.24	15.9	13.3	2.53
Mike Bibby	66	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	15.3	17.8	-2.51	15.0	16.1	-1.03
Michael Dickerson	66	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	15.3	17.8	-2.51	15.0	16.1	-1.03

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	67	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-1	5	15.4	15.2	0.14	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Bryce Drew	83	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	15.3	15.2	0.15	15.9	16.7	-0.81
Charles Barkley	74	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.43	5	-2	7	15.5	14.6	0.88	15.6	17.3	-1.70
Shandon Anderson	53	53	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-12	27	14.7	16.2	-1.56	15.2	17.1	-1.94
Kelvin Cato	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	-2	7	14.3	16.3	-2.04	16.2	15.8	0.40
Cuttino Mobley	56	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.37	-7	10	-17	15.4	15.2	0.24	16.5	15.2	1.28
Carlos Rogers	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	6	-9	15.7	15.0	0.67	16.5	15.5	0.97
Kenny Thomas	40	40	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	15	-27	16.4	14.5	1.96	16.7	15.4	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 79, SAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.74,1	92.1%
LAC 108, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.33,0.6,0.37,0.67,0.96,1	91.4%
ORL 102, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.92,1	91.0%