NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	113		Excitement	3.8 [1027]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +14.7%
Vancouver Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.4 [876]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -18.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	15	78%	0.17	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	85%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.05	7	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.07	11	73%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.24	-0.00	-0.11	13	15%	-0.07	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	8	35%	-0.11	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.07

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	17	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	61%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	87%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	46%	0.00	4	-0.08	1	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	-0.05	8	32%	-0.05	6	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	33.0	15.4	24.4	1.7	29.2	131.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +31.6%

CHH +2.2%

CHH +1.1%

CHH +12.7%

CHH +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	VAN	NBA	CHH	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	15.2	115.3	95.9	101.7
season	14.9	15.9		101.5	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.7	13.0	15.9	15.8	14.9
VAN	13.0	16.3	15.4	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	69	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.20	27	-8	35	14.0	16.9	-2.88	15.4	12.2	3.18
Anthony Mason	79	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	0	19	14.5	16.4	-1.93	14.0	16.6	-2.68
Eddie Robinson	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	3	13	14.5	15.3	-0.86	14.7	14.3	0.47
Eddie Jones	87	86	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	9	1	15.1	13.3	1.80	13.9	19.2	-5.29
Derrick Coleman	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	9	1	15.3	14.4	0.96	16.6	12.3	4.31
Ricky Davis	11	12	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	11	-3	13.3	15.1	-1.80	19.2	13.9	5.29
Elden Campbell	56	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	13	-7	15.2	14.5	0.68	15.3	13.5	1.87
Todd Fuller	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	14	-9	16.9	14.2	2.66	11.9	15.4	-3.50
Brad Miller	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	17	-15	13.6	15.4	-1.83	12.7	15.3	-2.67
Michael Hawkins	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	10.7	15.0	-4.33	12.0	14.6	-2.57
Baron Davis	26	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	27	-35	17.6	13.9	3.74	12.3	15.3	-3.06

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-23	27	12.9	15.3	-2.37	17.4	13.7	3.69
Brent Price	30	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-18	17	15.7	14.0	1.65	16.6	14.1	2.55
Antoine Carr	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-11	3	17.0	13.8	3.16	13.9	15.1	-1.29
Felipe Lopez	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-12	5	14.1	15.0	-0.86	15.7	14.0	1.65
Othella Harrington	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-8	-3	15.2	13.7	1.44	15.1	14.5	0.58
Dennis Scott	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-10	1	14.9	14.3	0.61	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	-6	-7	13.9	16.7	-2.80	14.9	14.8	0.02
Michael Dickerson	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-5	-9	14.2	15.0	-0.78	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Mike Bibby	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-1	-17	14.0	15.7	-1.65	14.1	16.6	-2.55
Cherokee Parks	53	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	-1	-17	15.1	13.8	1.29	13.7	16.2	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
ORL 117, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
ATL 108, NJN 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%