NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	4.4 [945]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +8.3%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	1.6 [831]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (SAC): -14.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	14	67%	0.14	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	29%	-0.05
JaMychal Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Russ Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	17	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	7	22%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	10	21%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	32.6	14.8	29.4	2.4	30.6	136.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +36.4%

MEM +0.3%

MEM +12.0%

SAC -0.5%

MEM +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.0	14.9	105.1	90.8	105.1
season	15.7	13.9		103.4	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.8		107.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.0	14.3	14.7	19.0	16.4
SAC	11.5	12.4	14.1	14.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	64	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	6	2	16.2	16.7	-0.56	12.4	14.3	-1.93
Tony Allen	40	42	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	1	12	15.9	16.7	-0.75	13.5	12.7	0.84
Zach Randolph	57	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-1	16	16.5	16.2	0.30	13.6	12.1	1.58
Brandan Wright	59	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.20	2	12	-10	15.8	17.2	-1.35	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Matt Barnes	48	48	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	5	4	15.8	16.9	-1.13	13.1	12.9	0.16
JaMychal Green	41	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	9	-4	16.4	16.4	-0.00	13.8	12.5	1.30
Mike Conley	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	5	4	16.5	16.2	0.30	13.7	12.3	1.39
Marc Gasol	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	7	0	17.0	16.0	0.96	11.8	13.8	-1.97
Beno Udrih	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	15	-16	16.8	16.1	0.71	12.6	13.3	-0.70
Jeff Green	44	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	8	-2	16.9	15.9	0.98	13.4	12.7	0.67
Russ Smith	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	18.1	16.2	1.91	8.2	13.3	-5.17

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	8.3	13.4	-5.10	17.2	16.3	0.96
James Anderson	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	9.1	13.4	-4.30	17.8	16.2	1.55
Eric Moreland	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	9.1	13.4	-4.30	17.8	16.2	1.55
Omri Casspi	46	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-16	18	13.3	12.7	0.58	16.4	16.3	0.11
Marco Belinelli	49	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-8	2	13.0	13.0	0.00	16.6	16.1	0.42
Caron Butler	20	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-7	0	13.6	12.9	0.79	15.6	16.6	-0.94
Darren Collison	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-5	-4	12.6	13.7	-1.08	16.1	16.8	-0.65
Rudy Gay	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-2	-10	13.6	11.9	1.70	16.6	16.0	0.53
Kosta Koufos	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	13.9	12.1	1.80	17.1	15.5	1.63
Rajon Rondo	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	3	-20	13.1	13.0	0.12	16.2	16.6	-0.46
Willie Cauley-Stein	71	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	1	-16	13.1	12.7	0.44	15.7	18.0	-2.27
Ben McLemore	44	41	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-2	-10	13.2	12.9	0.33	16.1	16.5	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 113, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
TOR 111, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
GSW 107, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%