NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	14.3 [4]		MVP	Todd Day (PHX): +33.6%
Phoenix Suns	128		Comeback	7.6 [197]		LVP	Luc Longley (PHX): -24.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.21	-0.01	0.21	-0.01	16	53%	0.29	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.33
Kelvin Cato	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	14	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.15
Bryce Drew	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	14	56%	0.07	4	-0.12	11	64%	-0.04
Walt Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	3	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Shandon Anderson	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.03	-0.19	-0.00	7	55%	-0.08	1	-0.13	8	75%	-0.07
Steve Francis	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	20	57%	-0.05	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.27	-0.00	8	68%	0.34	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	19	50%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	16	66%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	16	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	7	68%	0.05	4	-0.15	5	60%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.23,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.41,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	19	38%	-0.06	3	-0.18	7	86%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.18	-0.01	6	21%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.7	2.6	30.2	17.7	26.2	2.7	43.0	1.8	17.6	1.8	13.8	180.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +14.1%

PHX +2.6%

HOU -5.6%

PHX +27.8%

PHX +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.2	101.7	109.4	101.7
season	15.4	14.8		102.4	101.4
opponent	15.3	14.6		96.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.8	17.1	14.2	14.7	13.5	14.8
PHX	15.0	13.4	14.6	14.7	16.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	41	42	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-17	28	14.1	15.4	-1.32	14.5	14.3	0.28
Steve Francis	86	84	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-14	22	14.9	15.1	-0.18	14.8	13.4	1.40
Thomas Hamilton	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-3	0	16.7	14.7	2.03	12.7	14.6	-1.87
Matt Bullard	18	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	1	-8	15.8	14.9	0.92	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Kelvin Cato	97	92	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-10	14	14.6	16.5	-1.84	14.9	12.4	2.55
Charles Barkley	100	95	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-8	10	14.7	16.4	-1.75	14.8	12.5	2.30
Carlos Rogers	20	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	2	-10	16.4	14.7	1.75	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Kenny Thomas	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	2	-10	15.8	14.8	1.03	13.0	14.7	-1.70
Shandon Anderson	95	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.6	16.6	-2.08	14.6	13.4	1.18
Bryce Drew	34	33	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.24	-14	8	-22	15.1	14.9	0.18	13.4	14.8	-1.40
Cuttino Mobley	70	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.29	-13	7	-20	15.7	14.0	1.70	14.0	14.8	-0.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	56	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-6	18	14.5	14.2	0.32	15.5	14.5	1.08
Jason Kidd	106	110	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	3	0	14.6	12.4	2.21	15.0	14.9	0.10
Luc Longley	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.66	-8	14	-22	14.4	14.3	0.08	14.2	15.5	-1.24
Rodney Rogers	52	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-8	22	13.9	14.8	-0.90	15.6	14.5	1.07
Tom Gugliotta	91	95	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	7	-8	14.4	14.3	0.13	14.6	16.5	-1.93
Clifford Robinson	64	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	-9	24	14.1	14.7	-0.54	15.6	14.3	1.27
Shawn Marion	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	10	-14	14.0	14.6	-0.56	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Randy Livingston	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	3	0	12.4	14.6	-2.21	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Anfernee Hardaway	93	97	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	12	-18	14.9	12.2	2.66	14.5	17.1	-2.65
Oliver Miller	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	3	0	13.5	14.5	-0.99	17.2	14.7	2.52
Rex Chapman	1	1	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	7	-8	19.0	14.3	4.67	25.0	14.9	10.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.86,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.74,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 107, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.89,0.99,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.78,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.95,1	86.1%
PHX 113, CHH 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	85.0%
DEN 96, VAN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	84.6%