NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	8.6 [153]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +28.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	7.0 [73]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): -21.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28	0.11	0.19	0.01	12	65%	0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	4	93%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	12	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.06
Jahidi White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Gerard King	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.03	0.00	15	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	58%	0.02	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.06
Juwan Howard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	7	44%	-0.06	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	10	18%	-0.12	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	53%	0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.14,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	49%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	65%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	40%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	9	27%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	13	50%	-0.00	7	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	8	68%	-0.01	5	-0.20	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	31.3	14.7	30.8	1.6	43.4	149.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.9%

WAS +8.8%

PHI -3.6%

WAS +19.0%

PHI -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	15.2	102.0	93.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.0		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.8		98.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	15.1	13.2	13.5	14.1
PHI	14.4	13.2	15.6	17.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	58	60	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.43	17	-9	26	13.2	15.3	-2.10	14.5	15.8	-1.35
Tracy Murray	42	42	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-9	26	13.0	14.8	-1.84	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Rod Strickland	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	3	2	14.5	13.1	1.33	15.9	13.0	2.91
Gerard King	27	26	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-4	16	13.6	14.2	-0.69	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Aaron Williams	49	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	-2	12	13.9	14.2	-0.24	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Juwan Howard	60	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	9	-10	14.2	13.9	0.27	15.6	14.1	1.49
Reggie Jordan	9	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	7	-6	7.9	14.7	-6.79	12.9	15.3	-2.37
Ike Austin	66	65	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	12	-16	14.2	13.7	0.50	16.1	12.9	3.18
Chris Whitney	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	14.0	14.1	-0.08	13.2	15.6	-2.35
Jahidi White	1	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	13.0	14.1	-1.07	17.0	15.0	2.01
Michael Smith	50	48	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	19	-30	15.4	12.7	2.79	15.9	14.3	1.60
Richard Hamilton	41	39	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.17	-7	15	-22	15.2	13.3	1.94	15.4	14.8	0.63

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	56	58	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.16	8	-16	24	15.7	14.1	1.62	15.1	12.6	2.43
Kevin Ollie	3	2	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-8	8	11.0	15.2	-4.16	15.5	14.0	1.47
Nazr Mohammed	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-3	-2	14.7	15.1	-0.43	13.5	14.2	-0.70
Todd MacCulloch	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	14.9	15.1	-0.26	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Theo Ratliff	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-9	10	15.2	14.7	0.44	14.3	13.6	0.71
Larry Hughes	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	1	-10	14.9	15.3	-0.46	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Aaron McKie	59	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	13.8	16.8	-2.97	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Eric Snow	81	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	15.5	12.8	2.69	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Bruce Bowen	32	30	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	-2	-4	14.2	15.4	-1.29	14.7	13.8	0.87
George Lynch	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	15.6	13.0	2.64	13.9	14.6	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.77,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.27,0	89.9%
OKC 124, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.43,0.55,0.42,0	89.8%
TOR 108, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.43,0.27,0	89.6%