NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	86		Excitement	7.3 [364]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +23.7%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	2.1 [794]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -24.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chuck Person	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	31%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.05
Vin Baker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	16	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Emanual Davis	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	20	45%	-0.08	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Gary Payton	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.04	0.00	14	34%	-0.10	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	0.01	18	66%	0.30	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	9	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	0.02	14	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	12	39%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.5	27.5	15.6	25.1	1.7	30.2	124.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.3%

PHX +8.8%

SEA -17.0%

PHX +10.8%

PHX +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.2	91.5	102.1	101.7
season	14.9	14.8		103.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		96.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.1	17.8	14.5	14.8	15.3
PHX	16.9	13.5	13.2	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	24	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-15	17	15.9	15.1	0.77	14.4	15.0	-0.66
Rashard Lewis	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-12	11	14.1	15.5	-1.46	12.8	15.2	-2.44
Ruben Patterson	62	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-7	1	14.9	16.1	-1.16	15.1	14.4	0.73
Gary Payton	80	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-8	3	15.4	14.7	0.69	15.4	12.2	3.15
Horace Grant	69	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-10	7	15.2	15.6	-0.47	15.2	14.0	1.22
Chuck Person	28	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-1	-11	16.3	14.9	1.46	16.0	14.4	1.64
Vernon Maxwell	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	2	-17	15.8	14.1	1.72	14.2	16.4	-2.27
Emanual Davis	47	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	3	-19	14.4	16.2	-1.87	14.2	15.6	-1.33
Vin Baker	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	-4	-5	15.4	14.6	0.89	15.0	14.3	0.65

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	0	13	14.9	14.2	0.74	15.4	14.7	0.70
Clifford Robinson	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.13	21	-8	29	12.7	17.3	-4.56	15.9	14.5	1.35
Tom Gugliotta	76	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	5	3	15.2	13.7	1.53	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Todd Day	25	26	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	5	3	12.2	15.8	-3.59	14.8	15.5	-0.62
Anfernee Hardaway	82	77	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	15.1	13.3	1.81	15.4	15.1	0.29
Rodney Rogers	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	5	3	14.8	14.9	-0.09	16.2	14.3	1.85
Oliver Miller	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	9	-5	15.1	14.6	0.47	16.1	14.5	1.66
Luc Longley	26	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	12	-11	16.6	14.2	2.34	14.4	15.6	-1.14
Rex Chapman	8	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	10	-7	17.0	14.7	2.33	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Randy Livingston	10	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	13	-13	14.2	14.9	-0.74	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Shawn Marion	22	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	22	-31	17.5	14.1	3.41	13.2	15.8	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%
IND 101, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.92,1	93.1%
UTA 92, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%