NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	4.7 [848]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +15.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	3.2 [429]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -11.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.06	0.04	14	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.03	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	17	49%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	11	35%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	5	120%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	67%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.04	16	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	67%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	38%	-0.09	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	24	57%	0.04	7	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	26.5	15.5	21.5	2.5	27.5	120.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.5%

CLE -7.1%

CLE -0.6%

IND +25.3%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.7	13.0	15.2	110.3	101.0	101.7
season	15.4	14.1		106.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	16.2	17.9	17.4	16.7
CLE	11.0	12.6	15.7	13.2	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	41	42	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-2	13	16.6	16.7	-0.12	14.5	11.9	2.62
Jalen Rose	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	16.3	17.8	-1.45	13.3	11.9	1.41
Reggie Miller	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-1	11	16.9	16.4	0.49	13.2	12.6	0.57
Rik Smits	55	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	17.3	15.9	1.45	13.1	12.9	0.19
Mark Jackson	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	3	3	17.2	16.3	0.86	13.6	12.6	1.03
Travis Best	55	54	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	4	1	16.4	17.1	-0.70	12.7	13.4	-0.73
Sam Perkins	42	44	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	7	-5	15.9	17.3	-1.45	12.9	13.1	-0.19
Austin Croshere	56	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	16.7	16.6	0.12	11.9	14.5	-2.62
Al Harrington	59	59	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	13	-17	16.9	16.4	0.50	12.2	14.2	-1.92

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	56	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-9	9	12.3	13.9	-1.54	18.0	15.0	3.04
Ryan Stack	30	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-5	1	12.8	13.1	-0.32	15.5	17.2	-1.64
Trajan Langdon	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-3	-3	13.4	12.9	0.42	13.8	17.1	-3.27
Lamond Murray	42	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	13.1	12.9	0.27	17.9	15.9	2.00
Wesley Person	49	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	13.1	12.9	0.19	16.5	16.9	-0.36
Bob Sura	77	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-12	15	12.4	15.1	-2.66	16.7	16.7	0.00
Cedric Henderson	28	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	2	-13	13.4	12.8	0.62	14.7	17.5	-2.79
Shawn Kemp	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-5	1	13.0	12.9	0.06	17.0	14.9	2.09
Brevin Knight	41	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	13.9	12.3	1.54	15.0	18.0	-3.04
Andrew DeClercq	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-3	-3	13.3	12.2	1.06	17.5	14.4	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
WAS 106, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
PHX 102, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%