NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	6.6 [502]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +16.1%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	1.2 [919]		LVP	Damon Jones (GSW): -22.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	8	94%	0.16	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	13	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Tony Massenburg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Bryce Drew	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	17	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	16	42%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.04	12	73%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	23	56%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	53%	-0.00	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	12	27%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	12	33%	-0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.06	0.03	14	29%	-0.18	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	29.4	15.7	23.2	2.5	36.3	131.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.6%

HOU +17.9%

GSW -8.5%

HOU +6.0%

HOU +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	13.4	15.2	106.2	96.9	101.7
season	15.4	14.7		102.4	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		105.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	16.7	17.5	15.5	16.2
GSW	13.6	14.0	13.8	12.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	55	57	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-2	12	16.5	15.8	0.71	12.7	14.3	-1.64
Hakeem Olajuwon	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	4	0	16.0	16.6	-0.58	13.9	12.4	1.46
Steve Francis	83	84	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	5	-2	16.2	15.8	0.44	13.4	13.3	0.12
Charles Barkley	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	3	2	16.5	15.7	0.80	12.3	14.7	-2.35
Walt Williams	59	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-2	12	15.4	17.4	-2.02	13.4	13.4	-0.07
Carlos Rogers	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	10	-12	17.4	15.4	2.02	13.4	13.4	0.07
Kelvin Cato	44	45	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	6	-4	16.1	16.2	-0.05	14.1	12.8	1.34
Tony Massenburg	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	3	2	16.0	16.3	-0.29	13.2	13.5	-0.32
Bryce Drew	14	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	3	2	15.8	16.2	-0.44	13.3	13.4	-0.12
Shandon Anderson	42	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	10	-12	15.8	16.5	-0.71	14.3	12.7	1.64

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	25	24	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-13	18	13.2	13.5	-0.31	16.4	16.1	0.28
Tim Legler	15	16	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-11	14	13.2	13.4	-0.22	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Antawn Jamison	75	73	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-13	18	12.7	15.6	-2.85	16.5	15.3	1.16
Terry Cummings	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-10	12	12.8	13.6	-0.80	17.2	15.7	1.49
Tony Farmer	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-4	0	10.7	14.0	-3.27	13.4	16.8	-3.41
Adonal Foyle	61	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	14.5	11.6	2.88	16.9	15.1	1.79
John Starks	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	3	-14	15.0	11.4	3.59	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Donyell Marshall	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	13.3	13.6	-0.23	15.7	17.4	-1.66
Chris Mills	68	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	2	-12	12.9	14.5	-1.55	16.3	15.9	0.38
Damon Jones	73	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	5	-18	13.5	13.2	0.31	16.1	16.4	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 116, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%
NOH 81, BOS 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.09,0	93.3%
SAS 91, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%