NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	5.2 [474]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +13.2%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	7.0 [145]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -17.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	12	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Mitchell Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	7	62%	0.02	4	-0.13	12	75%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	9	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	95%	0.14	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	10	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Randell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	0.01	15	43%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.05	-0.03	11	23%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	31.3	14.8	24.0	2.5	27.5	125.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.8%

CLE -11.7%

WAS +32.0%

WAS +0.0%

WAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	17.1	15.8	100.0	112.8	99.6
season	16.3	15.5		97.3	98.8
opponent	15.9	16.2		101.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.1	14.8	17.7	16.2	16.4
WAS	18.0	15.9	15.7	18.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	54	56	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.20	11	-22	33	15.4	18.0	-2.59	17.7	15.9	1.87
Derek Anderson	56	57	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-16	21	16.3	16.6	-0.30	17.6	16.0	1.58
Earl Boykins	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-11	11	13.5	16.5	-2.98	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Mitchell Butler	35	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-9	7	15.3	17.2	-1.84	15.6	18.0	-2.34
Johnny Newman	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-9	7	15.1	17.2	-2.14	15.8	17.8	-1.97
Cedric Henderson	74	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	16.5	15.6	0.96	17.3	15.7	1.55
Ryan Stack	23	23	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	1	-13	17.0	16.2	0.87	16.7	17.2	-0.53
Wesley Person	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	4	-19	17.1	14.9	2.27	17.3	16.5	0.83
Bob Sura	28	27	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	5	-21	16.8	16.2	0.61	16.1	17.5	-1.47
Danny Ferry	67	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.02	-20	9	-29	17.4	12.9	4.51	17.5	15.6	1.87

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	35	34	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.08	23	-12	35	15.1	18.4	-3.32	16.9	16.1	0.79
Tim Legler	43	44	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.06	21	-10	31	16.6	17.6	-1.00	16.5	16.4	0.10
Ben Wallace	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	1	9	17.4	14.9	2.52	16.6	14.9	1.73
Jahidi White	31	29	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	7	-3	17.6	16.8	0.78	15.2	17.0	-1.86
Calbert Cheaney	67	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	17.6	15.2	2.40	16.8	15.2	1.60
Otis Thorpe	59	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	10	-9	17.2	16.9	0.23	16.6	15.9	0.69
Mitch Richmond	64	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	10	-9	16.8	17.9	-1.05	15.9	17.7	-1.82
Randell Jackson	6	7	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	5	1	10.0	17.6	-7.61	17.9	16.3	1.58
Rod Strickland	51	52	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	23	-35	18.4	15.1	3.32	16.1	16.9	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	92.9%
DET 109, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	92.6%
MIA 95, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.73,1	92.5%