NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	100		Excitement	10.8 [23]		MVP	Jon Barry (SAC): +6.3%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.3 [277]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -30.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.12	0.09	-0.03	15	46%	0.17	4	-0.17	7	14%	-0.09
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Will Perdue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	87%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Jaren Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	10	20%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.1,-0.19	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	13	38%	-0.09	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28	-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	16	41%	-0.11	5	-0.17	5	60%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31	-0.12	-0.20	-0.01	28	47%	-0.07	4	-0.24	12	67%	-0.07

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	82%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.05
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	23	56%	0.16	2	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	45%	-0.00	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39,-0.39,-0.23,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.16	0.11	-0.00	18	37%	0.20	5	-0.25	2	100%	0.09
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	5	17%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.14,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	14	48%	-0.02	4	-0.16	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	27.0	15.0	31.1	1.7	32.0	1.6	17.1	150.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.0%

SAC +20.3%

SAS -23.7%

SAC +6.0%

SAC +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.8	90.9	93.7	99.6
season	15.9	14.1		101.1	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		100.9	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	14.5	13.6	14.1	16.9	12.1	14.5
SAC	11.6	15.8	14.1	15.0	16.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	44	43	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.08	11	-15	26	15.4	13.9	1.44	13.8	14.6	-0.72
Will Perdue	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-8	12	16.5	14.4	2.12	10.8	14.5	-3.64
Antonio Daniels	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-3	2	15.2	14.3	0.91	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Malik Rose	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-5	6	15.7	13.9	1.73	15.3	13.8	1.48
Mario Elie	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	5	-14	13.5	15.0	-1.49	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Steve Kerr	53	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-4	4	14.6	14.4	0.27	14.9	13.7	1.18
David Robinson	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	3	-10	13.7	15.9	-2.24	14.2	14.4	-0.27
Avery Johnson	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.2	-0.91	14.4	14.0	0.41
Tim Duncan	107	109	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	14.5	13.7	0.86	14.2	18.5	-4.30
Sean Elliott	83	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	6	-16	14.4	14.8	-0.37	14.6	13.4	1.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	93	92	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.42	5	-1	6	14.2	14.6	-0.33	14.3	15.7	-1.46
Jason Williams	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	0	4	13.6	15.8	-2.23	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Jon Barry	73	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	1	2	15.2	12.4	2.79	14.8	14.0	0.73
Lawrence Funderburke	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	1	2	15.6	12.4	3.26	15.0	13.7	1.31
Peja Stojakovic	36	36	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	1	2	14.7	14.1	0.66	15.0	14.3	0.74
Vernon Maxwell	70	67	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	4	-4	15.2	12.7	2.45	14.7	14.2	0.48
Scot Pollard	54	55	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	2	0	13.5	15.0	-1.45	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	3	-2	12.4	15.2	-2.79	14.0	14.8	-0.73
Corliss Williamson	49	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	5	-6	12.9	15.4	-2.55	15.1	14.0	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.95,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.78,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.78,0.83,1	91.2%
MEM 106, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.98,1	90.9%
ORL 78, NOK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	90.5%