NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	70		Excitement	1.9 [779]		MVP	Otis Thorpe (WAS): +5.4%
Washington Wizards	87		Comeback	1.0 [739]		LVP	Dickey Simpkins (CHI): -11.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	18	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kornel David	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Cory Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.08	10	65%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	8	35%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Keith Booth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Charles R. Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	0.00	0.01	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	0.00	-0.07	7	20%	-0.08	3	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	10	48%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	9	57%	0.05	5	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Coker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	63%	-0.01	3	-0.00	3	0%	-0.02
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	10	30%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	25.3	15.5	22.6	2.3	24.6	113.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.6%

WAS +3.6%

WAS +2.8%

WAS +5.5%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.8	72.9	90.6	99.6
season	16.7	15.5		90.6	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.2	15.3	15.5	12.6	14.9
WAS	13.8	16.0	15.1	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-17	17	16.7	14.7	1.92	13.4	15.3	-1.84
Bill Wennington	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.11	-5	-12	7	14.7	14.9	-0.18	15.6	15.1	0.51
Cory Carr	24	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-15	13	14.7	14.9	-0.15	15.7	14.9	0.74
Corey Benjamin	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-21	25	12.9	15.8	-2.90	15.6	14.9	0.64
Rusty LaRue	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-17	17	14.2	15.7	-1.47	15.7	14.5	1.21
Mark Bryant	51	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-10	3	16.1	13.5	2.55	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Dickey Simpkins	62	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-12	7	14.2	16.1	-1.89	15.4	14.6	0.81
Keith Booth	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-6	-5	14.7	14.9	-0.20	14.5	15.6	-1.00
Kornel David	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-9	1	14.4	16.1	-1.72	15.0	15.6	-0.68
Randy Brown	60	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	5	-27	15.4	13.9	1.47	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Toni Kukoc	69	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	12	-41	15.9	12.1	3.83	14.8	16.0	-1.15

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otis Thorpe	70	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.43	30	-13	43	14.5	16.9	-2.45	16.1	11.2	4.90
Rod Strickland	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.40	29	-12	41	14.0	17.4	-3.44	15.9	13.0	2.89
Ben Wallace	75	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	2	13	15.1	15.2	-0.07	15.5	12.4	3.11
Mitch Richmond	58	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	1	15	14.3	16.5	-2.22	15.6	13.8	1.87
Calbert Cheaney	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	7	3	14.3	16.2	-1.85	16.3	13.0	3.30
Tracy Murray	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	10	-3	16.2	14.3	1.85	13.0	16.3	-3.30
Tim Legler	38	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	16	-15	16.5	14.3	2.22	13.8	15.6	-1.87
Randell Jackson	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	21	-25	16.6	14.2	2.46	12.6	16.2	-3.61
Jeff McInnis	33	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	29	-41	17.4	14.0	3.44	13.0	15.9	-2.89
John Coker	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	14.3	15.2	-0.93	8.3	15.5	-7.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, SEA 123	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
POR 89, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.9%
TOR 88, PHI 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%