inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 77 Excitement7.5 [179] MVPBen Wallace (WAS): +8.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 86 Comeback2.4 [416] LVPRod Strickland (WAS): -23.1%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Wallace0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.05-0.02953%0.0900.0010%-0.02
John Coker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terry Davis-0.020,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.04-0.00876%0.094-0.121100%0.00
Tim Legler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.030.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.02631%-0.0600.0010%-0.03
Randell Jackson-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.021133%-0.031-0.052100%0.01
Chris Whitney-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.0010%-0.0800.0020%-0.07
Mitch Richmond-0.190,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19-0.09-0.12-0.011645%-0.023-0.17683%0.01
Rod Strickland-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.12-0.14-0.031353%-0.056-0.181070%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.10-0.04-0.001763%0.111-0.05475%-0.01
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.001100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.02856%0.012-0.032100%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.020.002451%0.002-0.041593%0.09
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.0030%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.060.00520%-0.082-0.0700%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.021138%-0.102-0.05771%-0.01
Mitchell Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.08-0.090.0050%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.425.214.827.21.831.2125.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS -23.3%
CLE +26.0%
CLE +33.5%
CLE +18.7%
WAS -4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game18.416.415.893.9102.499.6
season15.516.398.897.3
opponent16.215.999.2101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS18.018.719.817.218.4
CLE14.720.215.415.516.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney41430.24-0.740.990.047-162317.119.6-2.4916.116.6-0.45
Tim Legler14150.09-0.590.68-0.034-131715.918.9-2.9414.416.8-2.38
John Coker880.07-0.570.630.012-111315.418.7-3.3114.716.5-1.78
Tracy Murray2223-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-101116.918.9-1.9917.416.01.48
Terry Davis1718-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-5119.918.01.9116.916.20.75
Chris Whitney109-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-7519.718.21.5221.315.85.57
Ben Wallace6665-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-6318.219.2-1.1016.117.2-1.10
Rod Strickland7275-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.19-7-2-518.219.7-1.5215.821.3-5.57
Otis Thorpe5658-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.25-7-2-518.617.80.8215.917.4-1.54
Mitch Richmond6869-0.590.09-0.68-0.21-134-1718.915.92.9416.814.42.38
Randell Jackson3637-0.880.38-1.27-0.21-2314-3720.616.64.0017.215.71.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brevin Knight43460.70-0.200.900.2017-82515.417.4-1.9718.318.4-0.04
Cedric Henderson69670.66-0.160.820.2215-62116.018.1-2.0818.318.5-0.12
Andrew DeClercq43430.380.120.260.2063315.717.0-1.3518.917.81.14
Shawn Kemp66660.330.170.170.0790915.718.8-3.1518.219.0-0.79
Wesley Person74710.290.210.090.2136-315.820.8-5.0418.219.2-0.94
Corie Blount36340.170.33-0.150.0836-317.715.32.3918.718.10.63
Mitchell Butler19190.170.33-0.170.0254119.415.53.8919.218.11.03
Danny Ferry19180.110.39-0.280.14-110-1119.215.53.6218.318.4-0.11
Johnny Newman77-0.120.62-0.730.03-514-1917.716.21.4817.718.4-0.71
Bob Sura4439-0.200.70-0.900.01-716-2316.716.00.7317.818.9-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.9,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 95, NOP 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.72,0.9,1,192.0%
MIN 104, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.85,191.1%
BOS 78, NYK 850.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.98,190.9%