NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	8.1 [251]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +29.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	102		Comeback	4.8 [324]		LVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): -15.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.21	0.11	0.03	14	79%	0.29	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	13	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	9	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	13	60%	0.07	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Teague	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	0.01	-0.10	0.04	18	47%	-0.10	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	8	39%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.11	0.01	17	62%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.15,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	24	56%	0.26	4	-0.15	15	73%	-0.05
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	12	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	87%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	10	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	5	8%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.5	15.4	25.4	2.0	37.3	134.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +42.7%

NOP +3.8%

NOP +8.4%

IND -7.0%

NOP +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOP	NBA	IND	NOP	NBA
this game	14.9	13.1	14.8	93.1	98.1	107.7
season	14.9	14.1		107.5	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	12.4	16.3	14.9	14.9
NOP	12.0	14.8	14.4	11.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	69	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-1	-5	14.8	15.1	-0.29	14.0	11.4	2.55
Al Jefferson	37	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-7	7	15.9	14.3	1.53	12.6	13.4	-0.79
Aaron Brooks	26	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-6	5	15.7	14.6	1.07	13.1	13.1	0.03
Lavoy Allen	17	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-6	5	14.8	14.9	-0.15	13.0	13.1	-0.10
Jeff Teague	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.6	15.7	-1.07	13.1	13.1	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	1	-9	14.7	15.4	-0.64	12.9	13.8	-0.94
Myles Turner	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	0	-7	14.3	15.9	-1.53	13.4	12.6	0.79
CJ Miles	65	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-7	7	14.9	14.9	-0.08	12.4	14.4	-2.08
Paul George	76	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	15.2	14.0	1.15	13.2	12.8	0.43

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	84	81	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.35	14	-7	21	12.9	14.0	-1.13	15.6	12.3	3.22
Solomon Hill	66	66	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-4	15	13.3	12.7	0.55	15.1	14.5	0.56
Terrence Jones	58	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-2	11	12.2	14.2	-2.07	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Jrue Holiday	79	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-6	19	12.8	13.9	-1.04	15.0	14.5	0.55
Buddy Hield	71	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	-3	13	13.4	12.3	1.10	15.1	14.4	0.70
Langston Galloway	44	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	11	-15	13.4	12.8	0.56	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Tyreke Evans	23	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	13	-19	13.4	13.0	0.39	15.6	14.7	0.89
Alexis Ajinca	40	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.18	2	5	-3	14.4	12.3	2.09	15.4	14.6	0.88
Omer Asik	13	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	14	-21	12.5	13.2	-0.71	16.0	14.7	1.28
E'Twaun Moore	42	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	14	-21	12.8	13.3	-0.46	13.5	15.8	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.72,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 77, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.9,1,1	92.0%
MIL 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.18,0.47,0.72,0.84,0.99,1	91.5%
WAS 84, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.91,0.92,1	90.8%