NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	9.3 [62]		MVP	Chris Morris (PHX): +72.3%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	9.7 [77]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -40.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Morris	0.72	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.72	0.14	0.56	-0.02	7	94%	0.72	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	11	45%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	72%	0.18	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	19	47%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Joe Kleine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	9	0%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.4	0.40	0.01	0.39	0.01	18	67%	0.58	6	-0.19	10	90%	0.35
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.36	0.36	0.10	0.27	0.00	5	100%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	74%	0.11	2	-0.12	7	86%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	9	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	2	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.25,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.13	-0.30	-0.04	9	22%	-0.18	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	47.4	1.8	26.4	16.7	27.8	1.6	37.4	159.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -26.4%

UTA +86.1%

UTA +32.6%

PHX -49.7%

UTA +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.8	107.0	108.1	99.6
season	15.3	16.4		102.7	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.9		96.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.1	17.9	15.5	16.9	16.3
UTA	20.1	16.4	15.1	17.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Chapman	46	48	0.61	-1.11	1.71	0.40	7	-8	15	14.3	18.7	-4.46	17.9	16.2	1.73
Luc Longley	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	0	-1	12.9	16.8	-3.89	20.4	16.8	3.68
Gerald Brown	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-1	1	19.2	15.8	3.41	15.2	17.5	-2.26
Clifford Robinson	46	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-3	5	15.4	17.4	-1.99	18.3	15.5	2.79
Joe Kleine	38	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	2	-5	17.8	15.2	2.60	16.6	17.6	-0.98
Pat Garrity	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	10	-21	16.4	16.3	0.04	17.1	17.2	-0.18
Jason Kidd	73	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.42	-1	0	-1	15.8	19.2	-3.41	17.5	15.2	2.26
Danny Manning	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.57	4	-5	9	16.9	15.5	1.34	16.5	18.1	-1.67
Chris Morris	48	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	17.7	14.7	3.01	16.0	18.5	-2.54
George McCloud	56	56	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.99	1	-2	3	16.8	15.5	1.29	16.9	17.5	-0.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	42	43	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	-2	5	17.9	16.4	1.47	15.3	17.3	-2.02
John Stockton	51	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-5	11	17.1	17.3	-0.18	15.4	17.7	-2.23
Bryon Russell	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	0	1	16.1	20.1	-3.95	16.6	15.5	1.19
Karl Malone	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	0	1	17.3	16.7	0.61	15.6	18.9	-3.28
Shandon Anderson	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.49	-3	4	-7	16.9	17.4	-0.48	17.4	15.3	2.04
Thurl Bailey	18	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	1	-1	16.7	17.3	-0.61	18.9	15.6	3.28
Jeff Hornacek	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	-3	7	17.4	16.9	0.48	15.3	17.4	-2.04
Greg Ostertag	51	50	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	-1	3	17.1	17.3	-0.18	15.3	17.8	-2.53
Todd Fuller	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	5	-9	19.6	16.6	2.97	21.5	15.3	6.21
Howard Eisley	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	6	-11	17.3	17.1	0.18	17.7	15.4	2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.63,0.59,0.28,1	90.5%
ORL 91, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,1	90.1%
PHX 101, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,1	89.7%