NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	74		Excitement	3.1 [718]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +12.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.5 [445]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -12.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Dell Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	10	64%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	8	11%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Haywoode Workman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	12	31%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	13	77%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	77%	0.03	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	9	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	65%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	9	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.5	14.8	23.0	1.6	26.5	123.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.4%

CLE +10.5%

CLE +9.9%

CLE +10.8%

CLE +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.8	83.1	112.6	99.6
season	15.8	16.3		102.4	97.3
opponent	16.2	16.4		99.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.5	16.9	17.0	15.2	16.9
CLE	15.8	15.0	14.3	18.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	40	40	0.02	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-27	30	16.4	17.3	-0.87	19.6	12.7	6.92
Chris Gatling	41	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-27	30	15.6	18.0	-2.35	19.3	12.9	6.50
Scott Williams	10	9	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-22	20	14.7	17.2	-2.45	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Haywoode Workman	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-10	-4	17.1	16.7	0.39	14.3	17.5	-3.21
Robert Traylor	43	41	-0.27	-0.24	-0.03	0.17	-15	-9	-6	17.1	16.7	0.37	14.4	17.1	-2.74
Michael Curry	51	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-11	-2	16.7	17.1	-0.45	16.3	15.2	1.07
Ervin Johnson	22	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-15	6	19.6	16.0	3.61	16.5	15.6	0.91
Vinny Del Negro	38	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.00	-11	-13	2	16.6	17.1	-0.47	16.9	15.1	1.89
Tim Thomas	49	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	-4	-16	16.2	17.7	-1.54	14.0	18.2	-4.20
Ray Allen	54	52	-0.43	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	-4	-16	17.5	15.9	1.63	14.0	18.5	-4.52
Glenn Robinson	51	50	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	0.17	-22	-2	-20	17.6	15.9	1.62	14.8	17.2	-2.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	55	54	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-1	26	14.2	18.6	-4.36	17.8	15.4	2.43
Brevin Knight	46	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.25	26	-2	28	13.1	18.9	-5.84	17.6	16.0	1.55
Cedric Henderson	57	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	3	18	14.2	18.9	-4.67	17.7	15.0	2.74
Shawn Kemp	35	37	0.48	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	3	18	12.6	18.0	-5.42	18.0	16.1	1.97
Johnny Newman	47	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	5	14	17.0	14.5	2.43	17.4	16.2	1.22
Andrew DeClercq	42	41	0.09	0.42	-0.32	-0.17	9	15	-6	16.6	15.1	1.55	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Danny Ferry	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	23	-22	16.4	15.5	0.84	16.4	17.2	-0.75
Corie Blount	39	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	24	-24	18.9	13.3	5.59	15.5	18.0	-2.52
Earl Boykins	7	7	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.1	16.1	-2.93	14.0	17.1	-3.12
Mitchell Butler	7	7	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.1	16.1	-2.93	14.0	17.1	-3.12
Derek Anderson	35	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	27	-30	20.1	13.0	7.15	16.7	17.0	-0.23
Bob Sura	31	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	25	-26	18.5	14.3	4.21	15.1	18.0	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 76, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 75, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 97, DEN 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%