NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	77		Excitement	2.2 [772]		MVP	Tyrone Nesby (LAC): +5.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	1.0 [93]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -8.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	83%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	3	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Hornacek	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	10	48%	-0.01	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	8	17%	-0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	76%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	80%	0.02	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	58%	0.05	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	13	92%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	9	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	13	56%	-0.00	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	29.6	14.8	27.8	1.8	25.4	125.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.2%

LAC +8.9%

LAC +0.3%

LAC +12.3%

LAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.8	82.8	113.2	99.6
season	16.4	16.7		102.6	97.5
opponent	14.7	16.0		107.0	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	14.2	15.6	16.5	15.4
LAC	14.5	15.2	17.1	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thurl Bailey	25	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.13	5	-31	36	16.3	15.0	1.28	16.4	15.8	0.60
Jacque Vaughn	23	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-22	18	16.1	15.1	0.99	15.6	16.0	-0.39
Adam Keefe	39	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-30	34	15.2	15.5	-0.36	16.4	15.6	0.81
Greg Foster	45	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-27	28	15.3	15.5	-0.19	16.7	15.2	1.52
Todd Fuller	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.15	-9	-17	8	15.8	15.2	0.62	16.3	15.7	0.68
Shandon Anderson	48	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-21	16	15.1	15.7	-0.54	15.4	16.5	-1.07
John Stockton	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-17	8	14.5	15.8	-1.26	16.9	15.5	1.40
Howard Eisley	41	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-13	0	15.6	15.2	0.35	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Greg Ostertag	38	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-6	-14	15.8	15.1	0.72	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Jeff Hornacek	45	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	-5	-16	15.7	15.1	0.54	16.5	15.4	1.07
Bryon Russell	54	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.40	-30	4	-34	15.5	15.2	0.36	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Karl Malone	45	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.34	-29	3	-32	14.3	16.4	-2.08	14.6	17.0	-2.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	72	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.29	29	-3	32	16.2	15.1	1.10	15.6	14.2	1.45
Michael Olowokandi	67	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.27	26	0	26	15.8	16.2	-0.39	15.1	16.1	-0.94
Eric Piatkowski	59	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	9	8	15.7	16.3	-0.55	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Darrick Martin	48	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.18	16	10	6	15.6	16.3	-0.76	15.2	15.6	-0.32
Troy Hudson	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	16	-6	16.3	15.6	0.76	15.6	15.2	0.32
Lorenzen Wright	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	13	0	14.8	17.0	-2.18	15.9	14.9	1.03
Maurice Taylor	23	26	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	15	-4	17.4	15.4	2.02	16.5	14.9	1.60
Lamond Murray	48	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	20	-14	15.5	16.4	-0.98	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Brian Skinner	46	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	23	-20	15.8	16.1	-0.28	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Keith Closs	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	25.0	15.4	9.60	11.0	15.6	-4.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 88, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
ORL 104, MIL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
UTA 109, NYK 131	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%