NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	2.5 [1225]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +12.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	127		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Keith Bogans (ORL): -5.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	31	56%	0.03	5	-0.06	11	73%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	12	27%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	15	73%	0.12	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	8	81%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.03	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	9	54%	0.02	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	26.5	0.2	27.2	0.3	28.2	109.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.5%

MIL +2.3%

MIL +4.9%

MIL +5.8%

MIL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.1	15.7	99.0	123.3	100.5
season	15.7	15.3		100.9	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.3	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.4	14.5	13.1	11.5	13.6
MIL	13.4	11.6	15.8	15.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-30	37	9.0	14.4	-5.40	15.2	13.9	1.40
Reece Gaines	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-27	31	10.5	14.4	-3.80	15.0	13.8	1.23
Steven Hunter	41	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-25	27	12.0	14.7	-2.67	13.9	14.2	-0.23
Gordan Giricek	55	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-25	27	13.2	14.1	-0.90	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Rod Strickland	42	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-17	11	14.9	12.8	2.09	13.3	14.5	-1.26
Zaza Pachulia	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-26	29	12.9	14.2	-1.29	15.8	12.7	3.15
Drew Gooden	64	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.34	-24	1	-25	13.9	13.2	0.71	13.2	15.3	-2.06
Keith Bogans	61	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-4	-15	14.1	13.0	1.04	14.8	13.1	1.71
Tyronn Lue	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-2	-19	13.8	13.5	0.35	14.3	13.9	0.40
Juwan Howard	60	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.32	-27	4	-31	15.0	11.8	3.20	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Tracy McGrady	79	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.54	-36	13	-49	14.5	11.1	3.39	13.4	15.9	-2.51

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	58	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.33	29	-6	35	13.9	14.2	-0.31	14.0	13.2	0.83
Desmond Mason	76	78	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.45	33	-10	43	14.2	13.7	0.44	14.7	10.7	3.99
Michael Redd	67	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.25	26	-3	29	13.5	15.2	-1.69	14.0	12.9	1.04
T.J. Ford	52	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.31	27	-4	31	14.4	13.8	0.60	14.2	13.0	1.21
Brian Skinner	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.24	21	2	19	14.6	13.4	1.27	14.3	12.8	1.49
Dan Gadzuric	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	21	-19	13.4	14.6	-1.27	12.8	14.3	-1.49
Damon Jones	51	52	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	27	-31	13.8	14.4	-0.60	13.0	14.2	-1.21
Daniel Santiago	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	30	-37	15.3	13.8	1.53	9.0	14.6	-5.59
Erick Strickland	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	30	-37	15.3	13.8	1.53	9.0	14.6	-5.59
Toni Kukoc	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	22	-21	13.5	14.3	-0.74	15.9	12.8	3.09
Marcus Haislip	45	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	29	-35	14.2	13.9	0.31	13.2	14.0	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHA 81, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
VAN 88, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%