NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	9.6 [47]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): +5.9%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	14.5 [49]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -36.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.01	10	59%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.01	14	57%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	7	29%	-0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.29	-0.05	-0.26	-0.02	20	52%	-0.16	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.00	19	39%	-0.09	3	-0.28	3	33%	-0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.13	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.01
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.04	6	-0.11	4	75%	-0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	8	55%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.11
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.13	-0.00	15	54%	-0.02	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.34,-0.34,-0.32,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.24	-0.13	-0.00	13	26%	-0.25	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	22.6	15.8	28.0	1.7	38.5	133.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.3%

SAC +17.0%

NYK -34.6%

SAC +18.4%

SAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	13.1	15.8	92.9	93.9	99.6
season	16.0	14.1		97.0	100.1
opponent	15.5	16.6		100.9	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	14.2	18.5	15.9	16.3
SAC	12.2	14.6	12.2	13.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	25	26	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-1	1	15.1	16.6	-1.52	13.5	13.0	0.55
Marcus Camby	15	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-3	5	14.3	16.6	-2.27	14.5	12.9	1.58
Kurt Thomas	57	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	7	-15	17.2	14.9	2.33	12.0	14.7	-2.73
Allan Houston	51	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	4	-9	17.3	15.1	2.17	12.3	14.1	-1.77
Latrell Sprewell	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.51	5	-6	11	15.5	17.6	-2.10	13.9	11.8	2.12
Chris Childs	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-6	11	15.5	17.5	-1.93	13.9	11.8	2.12
Larry Johnson	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	0	-1	16.6	15.7	0.93	13.3	12.9	0.34
Charlie Ward	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	1	-3	16.2	16.9	-0.70	12.9	14.3	-1.42
Patrick Ewing	73	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.59	-1	0	-1	16.6	15.1	1.52	13.0	13.5	-0.55

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	65	66	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.61	8	-7	15	12.5	14.4	-1.86	16.7	15.4	1.26
Chris Webber	86	87	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-9	19	12.7	16.2	-3.46	16.7	12.9	3.77
Vlade Divac	75	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-11	23	12.9	14.0	-1.08	17.1	13.3	3.79
Jon Barry	31	31	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	2	-3	14.4	12.6	1.79	15.5	16.6	-1.18
Vernon Maxwell	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.50	-7	8	-15	14.1	12.0	2.10	15.4	17.3	-1.93
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	67	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	-1	3	12.6	14.4	-1.79	16.6	15.5	1.18
Corliss Williamson	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	-5	11	12.1	13.8	-1.76	17.4	15.5	1.95
Michael Hawkins	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	6	-11	13.6	12.8	0.80	15.2	16.9	-1.74
Lawrence Funderburke	34	32	-0.67	1.17	-1.85	-0.09	-20	21	-41	15.1	12.1	3.04	13.6	17.6	-4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.06,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,1	92.0%
LAL 75, OKC 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.13,1	91.8%
POR 97, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	90.5%