NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	3.0 [726]		MVP	Chris Carr (NJN): +10.7%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	1.0 [674]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -11.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	14	56%	0.01	4	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	16	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	13	37%	-0.09	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.00	-0.06	19	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	18	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	10	57%	0.02	4	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	27.4	15.4	22.6	2.4	27.0	121.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.7%

NJN +14.2%

NJN +8.9%

TOR -6.0%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.8	92.6	114.0	99.6
season	15.6	15.0		99.0	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.9		100.6	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.8	15.0	16.5	15.1	15.9
NJN	11.4	15.6	17.8	15.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	15.9	15.9	0.00	15.7	14.6	1.10
Sean Marks	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	14.8	16.0	-1.19	16.2	14.8	1.41
Dee Brown	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-15	11	15.3	16.5	-1.15	15.5	14.3	1.18
Michael Stewart	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-9	-1	15.7	15.9	-0.20	14.8	15.0	-0.16
John Thomas	32	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-8	-3	15.2	16.2	-0.97	13.6	15.6	-1.94
John Wallace	56	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-9	-1	15.3	16.7	-1.42	15.1	14.7	0.42
Tracy McGrady	50	50	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-10	1	16.6	15.1	1.49	15.7	14.0	1.70
Vince Carter	64	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-10	1	16.0	15.6	0.43	14.5	15.9	-1.45
Charles Oakley	47	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	-12	-7	-5	16.3	15.5	0.79	15.0	14.9	0.04
Alvin Williams	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-4	-11	15.7	16.1	-0.38	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Doug Christie	49	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	0	-19	16.7	15.0	1.74	14.6	15.3	-0.73

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	77	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.33	31	-12	43	14.4	17.4	-2.95	16.3	13.5	2.77
Kerry Kittles	82	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-7	33	14.2	20.3	-6.05	16.2	13.3	2.87
Jayson Williams	65	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	5	9	14.8	15.1	-0.30	15.9	15.8	0.13
Chris Carr	57	55	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	9	1	15.4	14.1	1.30	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Kendall Gill	55	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	6	7	14.5	15.6	-1.09	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Jamie Feick	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	10	-1	15.3	14.5	0.79	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Keith Van Horn	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	14	-9	15.5	14.1	1.40	16.0	15.6	0.43
Lucious Harris	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	16.4	14.8	1.61	14.5	16.0	-1.45
Elliot Perry	16	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.27	-12	31	-43	17.4	14.4	2.95	13.5	16.3	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 88, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
UTA 81, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
IND 97, DAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%