NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	6.4 [313]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +52.9%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.6 [386]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -19.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0.53	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.53	0.03	0.51	0.01	12	62%	0.62	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	3	143%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jerome Kersey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.05,0	-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	21	53%	0.04	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	8	55%	0.01	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	45%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.47	0.47	0.14	0.36	0.02	11	83%	0.48	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	17	75%	0.18	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.04
Chris Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.09	0.04	14	45%	-0.12	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.4	24.6	15.5	22.5	2.5	40.2	128.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.0%

PHX -4.2%

SAS +10.9%

SAS +5.3%

SAS +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.6	16.0	15.8	111.2	110.2	99.6
season	15.9	15.3		101.1	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.9		101.3	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	16.8	15.0	17.9	16.6
PHX	17.8	16.7	17.0	12.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	68	69	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.68	11	-9	20	16.8	15.9	0.91	16.2	15.1	1.19
Sean Elliott	73	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-7	16	16.5	17.0	-0.55	16.1	15.5	0.64
Steve Kerr	14	14	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-6	14	16.6	16.5	0.11	17.1	15.8	1.37
Mario Elie	67	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	2	-2	15.6	19.5	-3.86	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Tim Duncan	83	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	6	-10	16.4	19.0	-2.63	15.6	20.7	-5.13
Antonio Daniels	23	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	0	2	18.7	15.8	2.89	16.7	15.8	0.89
Will Perdue	17	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	17.6	16.3	1.36	15.2	16.2	-0.95
Jaren Jackson	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	5	-8	18.7	16.0	2.78	13.9	16.6	-2.60
Avery Johnson	66	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	4	-6	15.8	18.7	-2.89	16.0	15.9	0.11
Jerome Kersey	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	10	-18	22.2	16.2	5.99	17.2	15.9	1.28
Malik Rose	10	11	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.36	1	1	0	14.7	16.8	-2.08	18.5	15.6	2.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Brown	9	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-2	2	15.0	16.1	-1.10	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Chris Morris	8	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-5	8	15.5	16.0	-0.54	19.9	16.3	3.59
George McCloud	40	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-7	12	14.2	17.4	-3.19	16.8	16.3	0.42
Joe Kleine	18	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	7	-16	16.1	16.0	0.08	18.4	16.0	2.45
Luc Longley	50	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	3	-8	17.7	13.7	4.01	16.4	16.7	-0.34
Danny Manning	42	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-9	16	14.2	17.6	-3.39	17.7	15.4	2.37
Toby Bailey	48	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	6	-14	17.5	14.2	3.23	15.5	17.9	-2.41
Tom Gugliotta	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-1	0	15.4	19.2	-3.71	15.6	21.7	-6.13
Clifford Robinson	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	16.4	14.2	2.25	16.7	16.1	0.63
Jason Kidd	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	0	-2	16.1	15.0	1.10	16.7	15.1	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0	93.8%
HOU 112, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
CHH 102, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%