inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 78 Excitement3.8 [637] MVPP.J. Brown (MIA): +10.0%
Miami Heat 88 Comeback1.2 [550] LVPMookie Blaylock (ATL): -16.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01862%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Chris Crawford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.03782%0.062-0.03367%-0.01
Mark West0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Grant Long0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03955%0.032-0.014100%0.01
Tyrone Corbin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.000.04856%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Smith-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001343%-0.0400.00475%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01837%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01729%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.01-0.03920%-0.082-0.032100%0.01
Mookie Blaylock-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.15-0.010.011018%-0.122-0.04250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.01970%0.1000.002100%0.01
Keith Askins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.012125%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02477%0.053-0.045100%0.03
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.01856%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Blue Edwards00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04025%0.0000.00425%0.00
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05333%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.040.010.061855%0.022-0.032100%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02443%-0.042-0.026100%0.02
Alonzo Mourning0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.160.02-0.061836%-0.062-0.03944%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.526.515.524.51.728.2124.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.1%
MIA +12.0%
MIA +0.3%
MIA +4.8%
MIA +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game16.817.115.890.7104.899.6
season16.716.697.2101.3
opponent16.716.396.894.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL18.114.120.215.316.8
MIA15.318.617.716.817.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrone Corbin33330.15-0.650.79-0.1811-213213.918.6-4.6918.516.22.30
Chris Crawford40380.11-0.610.71-0.2211-213214.418.8-4.3818.316.22.14
Grant Long46440.06-0.560.62-0.2611-213214.819.0-4.2218.116.02.09
Anthony Johnson4340-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-111216.017.6-1.5818.915.53.50
Mark West3937-0.16-0.340.19-0.160-101016.517.0-0.5616.317.7-1.42
Dikembe Mutombo4241-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.07-9-1-817.416.11.2918.415.92.44
Mookie Blaylock4344-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.17-111-1217.616.01.5815.518.9-3.50
Alan Henderson4546-0.570.07-0.630.08-2212-3418.415.03.4715.718.8-3.15
LaPhonso Ellis4646-0.610.11-0.710.01-2111-3218.814.44.3816.218.3-2.14
Steven Smith5351-0.650.15-0.79-0.03-2111-3218.613.94.6916.218.5-2.30

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning61630.68-0.180.86-0.1729-194816.718.1-1.3917.813.93.96
Dan Majerle58610.67-0.170.84-0.0424-143816.718.0-1.3318.013.84.13
Keith Askins35350.58-0.080.65-0.0421-113216.117.8-1.6720.114.55.64
P.J. Brown63650.430.070.350.1982617.615.81.7517.614.03.60
Tim Hardaway61600.420.080.34-0.0215-52017.616.01.6018.014.04.02
Blue Edwards670.000.50-0.500.21-717-2412.517.5-4.979.717.4-7.68
Rex Walters670.000.50-0.500.21-717-2412.517.5-4.979.717.4-7.68
Duane Causwell670.000.50-0.500.21-717-2412.517.5-4.979.717.4-7.68
Terry Porter4142-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-212-1418.515.82.6315.118.4-3.31
Mark Strickland4546-0.100.60-0.690.31-1424-3817.816.31.5114.719.1-4.36
Clar. Weatherspoon3837-0.100.60-0.710.19-1020-3017.716.61.1314.818.3-3.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 66, CLE 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
BOS 90, MIL 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
NYK 92, TOR 1150.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%