NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	4.1 [975]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +17.5%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	1.2 [1238]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -14.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	19	59%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.03	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	54%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	13	24%	-0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	17	69%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.04	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	8	50%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.08	11	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	31.2	20.5	24.3	2.7	28.1	133.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.8%

NYK -14.2%

TOR +18.1%

TOR +3.4%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.4	100.0	123.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.6		103.1	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	15.3	18.3	15.5	15.8
TOR	14.9	15.3	18.6	13.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	46	46	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	14.1	17.4	-3.30	15.7	15.1	0.59
Wilson Chandler	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-18	13	15.4	15.8	-0.36	11.5	15.7	-4.24
Renaldo Balkman	12	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-22	21	14.4	16.0	-1.55	16.0	15.3	0.71
Jared Jeffries	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.15	-6	-17	11	15.5	15.9	-0.33	13.3	16.1	-2.87
Malik Rose	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-20	17	16.4	15.7	0.72	16.3	15.3	0.98
David Lee	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-19	15	15.2	16.5	-1.36	15.9	14.7	1.21
Eddy Curry	51	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-6	-11	16.0	15.5	0.54	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Zach Randolph	55	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-11	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.58	15.9	14.6	1.31
Nate Robinson	68	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	0	-23	16.3	14.3	1.93	14.8	17.0	-2.21
Jamal Crawford	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	0	-23	16.4	10.8	5.61	15.9	11.9	3.97
Quentin Richardson	57	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.07	-24	1	-25	16.4	14.7	1.78	16.2	14.0	2.16

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	49	49	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.29	30	-7	37	16.1	14.5	1.62	17.7	13.5	4.18
Anthony Parker	66	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	8	7	15.8	14.3	1.52	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Jamario Moon	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.28	26	-3	29	16.0	14.2	1.79	16.6	14.0	2.57
Jose Calderon	54	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	8	7	16.4	13.9	2.46	16.4	14.9	1.45
Andrea Bargnani	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	10	3	16.3	13.0	3.25	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Rasho Nesterovic	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	20	-17	14.4	16.0	-1.66	14.3	16.8	-2.42
T.J. Ford	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.18	8	15	-7	13.9	16.4	-2.46	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Carlos Delfino	34	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.16	6	17	-11	14.9	15.7	-0.83	15.5	15.9	-0.47
Jason Kapono	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	23	-23	14.1	15.7	-1.61	14.5	16.0	-1.47
Kris Humphries	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	11.2	15.7	-4.50	12.2	16.0	-3.77
Joey Graham	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	11.2	15.7	-4.50	12.2	16.0	-3.77
Primoz Brezec	27	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.16	1	22	-21	14.0	15.9	-1.89	15.2	16.0	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 76, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHA 77, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 94, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%