inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 95 Excitement3.8 [642] MVPJaren Jackson (SAS): +11.4%
Dallas Mavericks 79 Comeback1.1 [625] LVPRobert Pack (DAL): -15.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaren Jackson0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.03-0.001067%0.1100.004100%0.01
Tim Duncan0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.010.021662%0.061-0.021080%0.01
David Robinson0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03887%0.093-0.05786%0.01
Andrew Gaze0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01250%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Will Perdue-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02560%0.033-0.0400%0.00
Malik Rose-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01450%-0.0210.00250%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00743%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04825%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02540%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Sean Elliott-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01743%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.02483%0.061-0.024100%0.00
Chris Anstey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02183%0.0000.00475%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.01-0.001450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04560%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Hot Rod Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.01743%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01540%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.031144%-0.033-0.04367%-0.01
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.110.00-0.031142%-0.024-0.07475%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.02-0.01945%-0.046-0.11250%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.723.415.826.42.427.7120.8
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +31.7%
SAS +8.6%
SAS +3.9%
SAS +5.8%
SAS +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game16.315.515.8105.686.899.6
season15.915.9101.199.7
opponent15.615.9102.392.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.015.616.717.016.3
DAL16.017.116.013.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Avery Johnson61630.61-0.110.72-0.1526-103615.817.6-1.8017.012.24.74
Tim Duncan70690.53-0.030.55-0.0921-52616.316.4-0.1516.611.94.73
Sean Elliott38390.440.060.37-0.0617-11817.815.32.4716.914.52.41
Jaren Jackson50520.430.070.36-0.011511416.316.3-0.0316.214.61.58
David Robinson57590.230.27-0.03-0.12124817.614.13.4915.914.71.29
Will Perdue43430.180.32-0.130.18016-1615.517.1-1.6214.216.7-2.48
Steve Kerr42410.100.40-0.31-0.08610-415.816.8-1.0315.415.6-0.23
Malik Rose10110.050.45-0.390.08-117-1812.916.8-3.8611.016.1-5.11
Jerome Kersey44440.040.46-0.420.07-117-1815.417.2-1.7614.716.3-1.57
Andrew Gaze660.000.50-0.500.15-521-2617.816.21.617.516.1-8.56
Antonio Daniels2928-0.110.61-0.720.18-1026-3617.615.81.8012.217.0-4.74

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hot Rod Williams23230.00-0.500.51-0.052-182017.814.73.0616.316.30.02
Chris Anstey990.00-0.500.50-0.155-21269.716.1-6.4718.816.12.72
Erick Strickland10100.00-0.500.50-0.155-21269.816.2-6.4017.116.20.86
Dirk Nowitzki5251-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-182014.217.2-2.9515.817.1-1.31
Robert Pack4547-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-151416.015.00.9615.816.9-1.10
Shawn Bradley2929-0.15-0.350.200.14-10-6-415.515.5-0.0217.615.71.90
Hubert Davis4948-0.26-0.24-0.030.09-12-4-814.916.1-1.2016.616.00.58
A.C. Green3331-0.31-0.19-0.130.01-11-5-615.315.6-0.3016.516.20.28
Samaki Walker3838-0.33-0.17-0.150.02-12-4-814.816.0-1.1715.816.7-0.94
Gary Trent5050-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.08-9-7-216.714.02.7216.216.5-0.34
Michael Finley7573-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-193-2216.311.94.3916.216.7-0.46
Steve Nash4241-0.50-0.00-0.490.09-204-2416.514.71.8216.416.30.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 98, BOS 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
CLE 105, NOH 920.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,095.9%
VAN 110, LAC 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%