NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	4.5 [947]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +16.3%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	1.3 [465]		LVP	Marcus Morris (BOS): -8.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.02	-0.04	21	61%	0.18	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.02	0.06	13	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Dante Exum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Grayson Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Joe Ingles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	16	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	4	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	9	19%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	29.5	14.7	29.3	2.3	28.5	133.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.0%

UTA +12.3%

BOS -5.8%

UTA +10.0%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	14.3	103.2	90.5	109.3
season	14.3	13.9		109.3	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		106.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.8	16.4	15.0	18.0	15.8
BOS	13.8	14.9	17.7	12.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-3	18	16.3	14.4	1.84	15.0	13.2	1.71
Ricky Rubio	54	53	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-2	16	16.4	15.0	1.47	15.3	13.5	1.80
Rudy Gobert	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-4	20	15.8	15.7	0.14	15.0	13.8	1.16
Jae Crowder	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.22	19	-7	26	14.8	16.8	-1.97	16.1	12.8	3.36
Derrick Favors	50	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	8	-4	15.6	16.0	-0.44	14.4	14.6	-0.16
Alec Burks	25	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	-2	16	11.8	17.2	-5.47	15.3	14.2	1.02
Joe Ingles	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	4	4	17.2	13.7	3.47	14.9	14.0	0.83
Royce O'Neale	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	12	-12	14.6	16.7	-2.10	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Dante Exum	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	14	-16	14.6	16.7	-2.06	13.6	15.3	-1.77
Grayson Allen	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	19.2	15.6	3.60	8.6	14.9	-6.26
Ekpe Udoh	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	19.2	15.6	3.60	8.6	14.9	-6.26
Georges Niang	18	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.36	-16	28	-44	19.7	14.9	4.85	9.6	15.5	-5.97

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Wanamaker	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-17	22	11.5	15.2	-3.65	20.1	14.8	5.27
Guerschon Yabusele	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-17	22	11.5	15.2	-3.65	20.1	14.8	5.27
Daniel Theis	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-17	22	12.4	15.3	-2.83	17.4	15.3	2.12
Semi Ojeleye	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-15	18	12.0	15.4	-3.44	18.0	15.0	3.01
Terry Rozier	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-16	20	14.3	14.7	-0.47	15.1	16.3	-1.26
Aron Baynes	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	15.5	14.1	1.33	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Jaylen Brown	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.9	14.1	0.85	16.2	15.4	0.76
Kyrie Irving	58	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-2	-8	14.3	14.8	-0.47	16.5	14.4	2.10
Gordon Hayward	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-1	-10	14.2	15.0	-0.81	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Marcus Morris	40	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-1	-10	16.1	13.4	2.72	13.7	17.2	-3.56
Marcus Smart	33	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	1	-14	16.2	13.6	2.54	13.3	17.2	-3.89
Al Horford	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	1	-14	15.1	14.0	1.12	15.1	16.4	-1.27
Jayson Tatum	47	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	1	-14	15.9	13.1	2.79	14.5	17.0	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, DAL 79	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CLE 105, NOH 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.9%
VAN 110, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%