inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 106 Excitement7.1 [221] MVPTravis Best (IND): +20.9%
Washington Wizards 95 Comeback3.7 [275] LVPMitch Richmond (WAS): -38.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Best0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.080.13-0.00686%0.251-0.042100%0.02
Reggie Miller0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.03-0.01980%0.182-0.05786%0.03
Jalen Rose0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.060.080.020.041176%0.142-0.09786%0.01
Dale Davis0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.01-0.00955%0.0200.00250%0.00
Austin Croshere-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00650%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00848%-0.0200.00580%0.00
Chris Mullin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00550%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Rik Smits-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.001356%0.035-0.131100%0.00
Sam Perkins-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.07-0.00410%-0.121-0.04250%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.000.001070%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.00767%0.0500.004100%0.03
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.010.00267%0.0100.002100%0.02
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.030.001460%0.082-0.072100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.050.022454%0.062-0.0900%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.01625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.01714%-0.122-0.0300%0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.26,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39-0.39-0.17-0.24-0.021737%-0.254-0.14650%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.41.725.215.424.42.436.6126.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +65.4%
IND +11.5%
WAS -10.0%
WAS -18.2%
IND +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDWASNBAINDWASNBA
this game15.715.815.8116.5103.399.6
season16.415.5105.498.8
opponent15.916.0101.3101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND19.415.115.613.215.7
WAS14.915.516.416.215.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rik Smits42430.64-0.140.780.2314-31715.016.3-1.3716.714.91.85
Reggie Miller64640.59-0.090.670.0917-62315.216.9-1.7215.316.7-1.42
Travis Best45470.54-0.040.570.211101113.917.5-3.6615.715.8-0.08
Jalen Rose61610.52-0.020.540.2592715.116.9-1.7215.017.3-2.26
Antonio Davis57570.400.100.310.2365115.915.40.5315.915.60.26
Austin Croshere23240.030.47-0.440.03011-1115.615.7-0.1417.815.02.80
Dale Davis46460.030.47-0.45-0.1256-115.815.70.0915.016.5-1.43
Mark Jackson4645-0.040.54-0.57-0.04011-1117.513.93.6615.815.70.08
Sam Perkins3738-0.070.57-0.640.02-314-1716.215.40.8015.416.0-0.67
Chris Mullin3435-0.130.63-0.77-0.02-415-1917.814.53.2716.515.31.12

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney2726-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-121316.515.41.0715.515.8-0.25
Ben Wallace1718-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-8516.115.70.4418.115.12.99
Terry Davis5755-0.17-0.330.15-0.14-1-10916.714.22.4716.214.91.32
Chris Whitney2020-0.20-0.300.090.15-121-1315.215.9-0.7215.415.8-0.34
Tracy Murray3635-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.13-5-6114.316.7-2.4413.617.1-3.48
Rod Strickland7271-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.321-121315.915.20.7215.815.40.34
Otis Thorpe8585-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.18-6-5-116.211.05.1515.913.32.55
Mitch Richmond6767-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.11-132-1515.516.4-0.8815.715.70.06
Juwan Howard7978-0.590.09-0.69-0.10-176-2315.219.2-3.9515.616.3-0.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 104, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,092.7%
MIA 105, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,092.4%
LAL 99, SAS 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.01,092.3%