NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	81		Excitement	7.4 [190]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +19.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Comeback	2.4 [346]		LVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): -39.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.12	0.05	13	77%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	65%	0.19	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.06
Reggie Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	14	40%	-0.00	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Sam Perkins	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.02	-0.14	-0.01	8	39%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	6	25%	-0.15	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cedric Henderson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	8	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	13	44%	-0.14	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.09
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.03	-0.18	0.01	10	44%	-0.22	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	0.00	9	33%	-0.17	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.1	14.8	25.0	1.5	34.2	130.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +70.8%

CLE -15.2%

CLE -7.1%

IND +5.6%

CLE -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	17.3	17.4	15.8	95.3	91.4	99.6
season	16.4	16.3		105.4	97.3
opponent	16.2	16.0		99.2	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	20.0	15.4	18.0	16.1	17.3
CLE	15.8	18.2	17.1	18.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	44	43	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.33	20	-13	33	18.4	16.2	2.14	18.7	15.9	2.73
Chris Mullin	54	51	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.35	18	-11	29	16.6	18.5	-1.87	17.1	17.8	-0.68
Mark Jackson	66	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-1	9	17.2	17.9	-0.80	16.5	20.3	-3.78
Reggie Miller	66	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-1	9	17.2	17.9	-0.80	16.5	20.3	-3.78
Sam Perkins	35	34	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	5	-3	17.4	17.3	0.07	18.5	16.6	1.90
Dale Davis	55	52	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	6	-5	17.7	16.7	0.92	16.1	19.6	-3.45
Austin Croshere	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	17.9	17.2	0.80	20.3	16.5	3.78
Travis Best	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	17.9	17.2	0.80	20.3	16.5	3.78
Antonio Davis	36	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	16	-25	15.5	18.7	-3.13	16.5	18.0	-1.44
Jalen Rose	31	30	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.05	-11	18	-29	18.5	16.6	1.87	17.8	17.1	0.68

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	33	34	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.01	8	-15	23	17.5	17.3	0.24	17.6	17.2	0.43
Antonio Lang	7	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-9	11	22.4	16.9	5.54	18.6	17.2	1.35
Danny Ferry	37	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	18.4	16.5	1.91	15.8	18.5	-2.69
Johnny Newman	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.34	6	-13	19	18.1	16.5	1.61	17.0	17.7	-0.74
Vitaly Potapenko	65	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-5	3	16.5	20.9	-4.45	18.1	14.3	3.79
Cedric Henderson	35	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	6	-19	16.5	18.1	-1.61	17.7	17.0	0.74
Derek Anderson	65	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	18.1	14.3	3.81	17.2	17.8	-0.57
Brevin Knight	64	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	4	-15	16.5	20.5	-4.00	17.3	17.4	-0.06
Shawn Kemp	53	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	3	-13	17.1	18.0	-0.91	17.3	17.5	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.16,0	91.7%
SAS 111, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.16,0	91.4%
BOS 106, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0	91.2%