NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	82		Excitement	7.9 [154]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +22.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	2.8 [292]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (MIL): -27.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	6	64%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	15	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	71%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	41%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.07
Travis Best	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	7	37%	-0.08	2	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.08,-0.05	-0.05	0.13	-0.18	0.00	22	65%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.26	-0.26	-0.06	-0.20	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	3	-0.23	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.18	-0.01	6	33%	-0.23	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	25.2	15.5	21.6	1.7	30.2	120.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.7%

IND +3.2%

MIL -13.6%

IND +8.2%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	18.2	16.7	15.8	100.0	96.4	99.6
season	16.4	15.8		105.4	102.4
opponent	16.4	16.0		100.9	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	20.4	21.0	15.2	18.2
MIL	17.3	15.7	13.3	20.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	47	46	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.55	16	-14	30	17.5	19.1	-1.65	18.2	14.9	3.21
Rik Smits	42	41	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.39	15	-13	28	18.3	18.1	0.23	18.2	15.2	3.01
Reggie Miller	65	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.53	8	-6	14	17.7	20.1	-2.35	16.3	18.4	-2.05
Mark Jackson	51	51	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-7	16	17.5	19.4	-1.92	15.8	18.2	-2.38
Dale Davis	37	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-6	14	17.8	18.5	-0.65	16.2	17.1	-0.87
Jalen Rose	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	9	-16	17.3	18.9	-1.54	14.8	18.3	-3.50
Travis Best	31	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	9	-16	19.4	17.5	1.92	18.2	15.8	2.38
Antonio Davis	48	50	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	13	-24	17.8	18.7	-0.92	16.3	17.4	-1.11
Austin Croshere	22	22	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	13	-24	20.7	17.3	3.40	17.6	16.4	1.24
Sam Perkins	31	33	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.09	-10	12	-22	20.4	16.9	3.52	16.5	16.9	-0.45

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	43	42	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.09	14	-16	30	14.1	19.5	-5.36	19.5	16.8	2.63
Armen Gilliam	37	36	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.12	8	-10	18	16.7	16.7	0.01	19.6	17.1	2.57
Dell Curry	33	33	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.18	12	-14	26	15.5	17.5	-1.95	19.2	17.5	1.70
Michael Curry	19	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-3	4	13.8	17.6	-3.74	18.2	18.2	-0.05
Robert Traylor	24	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	11	-24	18.2	16.1	2.15	17.5	18.5	-1.03
Vinny Del Negro	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-5	8	17.8	15.6	2.15	17.9	18.5	-0.69
Glenn Robinson	60	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	0	-2	17.5	14.7	2.74	18.2	18.2	0.03
Tyrone Hill	54	51	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.38	-10	8	-18	17.7	15.0	2.70	17.7	19.1	-1.40
Terrell Brandon	56	55	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.48	-11	9	-20	16.9	16.3	0.58	17.6	19.5	-1.92
Ray Allen	47	48	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.52	-12	10	-22	17.1	16.3	0.79	17.2	19.5	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.72,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, BOS 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	91.5%
MIL 90, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.22,0.28,0	90.9%
WAS 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.31,0	90.0%