NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	7.5 [178]		MVP	Malik Rose (SAS): +14.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.3 [480]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -36.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	12	76%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Sean Elliott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	11	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Gerard King	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jerome Kersey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mario Elie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	8	58%	-0.07	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.09
David Robinson	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36	-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	8	44%	-0.29	4	-0.07	18	50%	-0.24

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Benoit Benjamin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.1,-0.02	-0.02	0.13	-0.12	0.03	26	67%	0.19	3	-0.20	17	88%	0.15
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	5	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	12	37%	-0.16	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	6	25%	-0.08	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.7	30.2	16.8	27.2	2.5	49.7	156.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +61.0%

PHI -29.7%

SAS +14.9%

SAS +9.7%

PHI -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.8	107.7	103.3	99.6
season	15.9	15.6		101.1	97.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		94.8	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.0	14.4	17.2	18.6	16.2
PHI	14.3	15.6	17.0	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	52	49	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.48	14	-10	24	15.9	16.6	-0.67	17.2	13.4	3.82
Steve Kerr	57	57	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.09	22	-18	40	15.5	17.4	-1.97	16.6	13.5	3.10
Avery Johnson	80	81	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	2	0	16.2	16.3	-0.07	15.2	17.0	-1.75
Sean Elliott	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	2	0	15.5	17.5	-2.00	15.0	16.3	-1.30
David Robinson	54	56	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	8	-12	16.7	15.5	1.13	14.4	17.1	-2.63
Mario Elie	43	41	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	3	-2	16.3	16.1	0.27	14.6	16.1	-1.47
Jerome Kersey	17	18	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	-3	10	15.1	16.5	-1.34	16.4	15.2	1.18
Gerard King	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	7	-10	11.5	16.5	-5.04	11.4	15.7	-4.27
Jaren Jackson	36	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.31	-13	17	-30	18.0	15.1	2.92	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Tim Duncan	52	52	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	17.2	14.9	2.34	15.4	15.5	-0.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	43	46	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-15	26	14.8	16.0	-1.27	18.0	14.4	3.62
Harvey Grant	53	52	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.11	-2	-2	0	15.4	15.5	-0.06	16.9	15.2	1.71
Benoit Benjamin	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	18.5	15.3	3.20	12.2	16.4	-4.14
Tim Thomas	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-6	8	15.8	15.2	0.63	16.3	16.1	0.21
Eric Snow	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-7	10	15.2	15.7	-0.53	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Aaron McKie	24	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	7	-18	16.0	15.3	0.70	14.9	16.7	-1.83
George Lynch	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-4	4	15.5	15.2	0.30	15.1	19.7	-4.58
Allen Iverson	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	0	-4	14.8	19.3	-4.51	16.3	15.7	0.58
Larry Hughes	39	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	1	-6	16.2	14.8	1.38	17.4	15.4	2.04
Matt Geiger	59	58	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.48	-10	6	-16	15.7	14.9	0.87	16.1	16.3	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	93.3%
PHI 92, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.57,0.09,0	91.5%
MIL 89, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.18,0	91.3%