inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Vancouver Grizzlies 100 Excitement5.0 [783] MVPTony Delk (GSW): +9.1%
Golden State Warriors 112 Comeback1.5 [753] LVPJim Jackson (GSW): -22.5%


Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Lynch0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.00-0.00771%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Blue Edwards0.030,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.08-0.020.031175%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Bobby Hurley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.02267%0.021-0.002100%0.01
Ivano Newbill-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00240%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.011856%0.084-0.11757%-0.03
Antonio Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01546%-0.0300.00367%-0.01
Lee Mayberry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02250%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Tony Massenburg-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.06-0.060.051668%0.013-0.06667%-0.03
Michael Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.04
Pete Chilcutt-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.02844%-0.042-0.052100%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.08-0.01-0.011766%0.142-0.051100%0.00
Gerald Madkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.02383%0.0800.0000%0.00
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00467%0.0600.00475%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.001560%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.000.001064%0.081-0.032100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.01-0.011655%0.032-0.031070%-0.01
Jeff Grayer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Felton Spencer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Todd Fuller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01262%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Duane Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.23,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.25-0.03-0.051931%-0.145-0.09786%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.423.416.429.22.031.1128.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +5.6%
GSW +11.1%
GSW +22.8%
GSW +12.6%
VAN -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsVANGSWNBAVANGSWNBA
this game14.717.115.6109.9124.4102.5
season15.115.6101.392.9
opponent15.015.3102.8109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
VAN14.017.214.413.714.7
GSW16.017.118.417.017.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Hurley2624-0.06-0.440.380.15-7-5-217.513.63.8317.217.10.13
Antonio Daniels3636-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-121214.914.60.3218.716.12.64
George Lynch3635-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-111015.014.50.4516.517.5-0.93
Michael Smith3840-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-9615.114.50.6517.317.00.34
Ivano Newbill1917-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-5-7211.815.5-3.7117.217.10.15
Pete Chilcutt3937-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-153-1814.714.7-0.0116.317.7-1.38
Tony Massenburg6262-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-7215.513.12.4317.815.62.18
Lee Mayberry5455-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.09-11-1-1013.916.0-2.1516.617.9-1.27
Blue Edwards6665-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.26-6-6014.316.0-1.7016.618.4-1.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7979-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.24-7-5-214.516.1-1.5617.117.3-0.18

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Caffey60590.480.020.460.131201216.917.5-0.6314.115.9-1.82
Muggsy Bogues72710.450.050.400.2184416.718.7-2.0114.515.6-1.12
Jim Jackson81820.390.110.290.10102817.514.03.4615.111.14.01
Erick Dampier72710.380.120.270.2166017.416.01.3914.814.50.29
Adonal Foyle25260.280.220.07-0.041111021.215.65.6112.815.5-2.74
Felton Spencer8100.140.36-0.22-0.0775218.417.01.3915.714.61.10
Duane Ferrell780.120.38-0.27-0.0357-28.317.9-9.5713.514.8-1.34
Tony Delk49500.110.39-0.270.08111-1017.217.00.2915.114.30.74
Clar. Weatherspoon50500.090.41-0.320.21-416-2016.717.6-0.8316.312.83.58
Gerald Madkins18200.050.45-0.40-0.0648-418.716.72.0115.614.51.12
Jeff Grayer440.000.50-0.500.00012-128.017.5-9.539.015.0-5.99
Todd Fuller440.000.50-0.500.00012-128.017.5-9.539.015.0-5.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 94, PHI 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,195.7%
DEN 103, LAL 1190.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CHH 79, SAS 950.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,195.3%