inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 101 Excitement5.6 [652] MVPAnthony Goldwire (DEN): +14.3%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback2.3 [97] LVPDamon Stoudamire (POR): -22.1%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.030.021267%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.021260%0.0500.001100%0.00
Kelvin Cato0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.001256%0.062-0.07875%0.01
Isaiah Rider-0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.03-0.011550%0.021-0.042100%0.01
Gary Grant-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.040.04662%-0.0500.001100%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.01753%-0.031-0.02540%-0.06
Walt Williams-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00525%-0.091-0.02250%-0.02
Damon Stoudamire-0.220,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.09-0.080.051243%-0.163-0.06683%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.200.010.068110%0.161-0.02475%-0.02
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.070.01662%0.0900.004100%0.02
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.00-0.03964%0.0800.0010100%0.05
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.002100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.001258%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.011157%0.061-0.03887%0.01
Bryant Stith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.001951%0.052-0.06560%-0.03
Priest Lauderdale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.14-0.080.00133%-0.055-0.17450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.527.216.525.42.432.4127.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +59.9%
DEN +0.8%
DEN +0.7%
POR -13.7%
DEN +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game16.216.515.6114.8123.9102.5
season15.916.2101.996.7
opponent15.215.4109.5100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR18.114.017.115.616.2
DEN16.120.314.915.016.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walt Williams21210.02-0.520.53-0.135-131816.716.10.6120.615.25.38
Kelvin Cato1112-0.03-0.470.45-0.113-111413.516.6-3.0415.516.7-1.18
Rasheed Wallace5959-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-5216.016.6-0.5216.816.00.83
Gary Grant3635-0.18-0.320.15-0.325-131815.017.0-1.9918.015.52.45
Isaiah Rider6565-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.10-5-3-215.518.2-2.7316.616.20.41
Arvydas Sabonis6464-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.13-91-1017.413.04.4117.115.02.15
Brian Grant7270-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-113-1416.415.11.3216.815.61.15
Stacey Augmon4343-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.25-80-816.516.00.5114.218.8-4.57
Damon Stoudamire6971-0.600.10-0.70-0.10-179-2616.415.50.8615.122.5-7.44

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis72720.460.040.410.1610-21215.322.1-6.7716.116.6-0.44
Johnny Newman57560.420.080.340.3335-216.716.20.4615.217.9-2.62
Anthony Goldwire71720.400.100.290.1680815.520.9-5.4016.216.10.10
Dean Garrett60600.380.120.260.0611-31417.215.02.2916.715.21.50
Cory Alexander69680.380.120.260.1480816.516.7-0.2115.917.1-1.22
Bobby Jackson36360.370.130.240.2835-215.217.4-2.1517.115.61.44
Priest Lauderdale22220.120.38-0.260.1208-817.016.30.7015.916.3-0.45
Danny Fortson49510.040.46-0.410.0408-818.314.34.0717.015.11.85
Bryant Stith43-0.060.56-0.630.02-311-1431.215.815.4311.316.4-5.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 100, MIA 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,194.2%
SAS 86, WAS 960.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.94,0.93,1,1,194.1%
PHI 83, MIA 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,193.7%