NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	4.1 [949]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +3.6%
Golden State Warriors	84		Comeback	1.0 [1229]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -18.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	23	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	20	65%	-0.03
Mario Bennett	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	71%	0.07	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	61%	0.05	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	8	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	7	36%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Duane Ferrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	17	56%	0.04	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	16	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.19	0.00	-0.05	14	41%	-0.06	5	-0.08	9	56%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	9	37%	-0.09	5	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	27.2	15.7	30.0	2.4	31.6	137.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.5%

LAL +5.9%

LAL +11.0%

GSW -2.3%

LAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.6	105.5	90.3	102.5
season	14.8	15.6		110.0	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.6		102.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	16.4	16.6	20.5	16.5
GSW	15.4	13.1	15.4	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.17	19	-7	26	16.9	16.0	0.89	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Shaquille O'Neal	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	3	6	16.2	17.5	-1.32	15.3	13.0	2.35
Eddie Jones	62	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-2	16	16.0	17.6	-1.64	15.2	13.9	1.30
Mario Bennett	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-3	18	16.8	16.1	0.69	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Rick Fox	68	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	7	-2	16.3	17.0	-0.72	14.9	14.5	0.43
Kobe Bryant	43	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	8	-4	17.2	15.9	1.25	15.2	14.5	0.70
Elden Campbell	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	8	-4	17.5	16.1	1.40	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Corie Blount	34	35	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	16	-20	15.9	16.8	-0.90	14.9	14.8	0.06
Nick Van Exel	44	46	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.32	-7	19	-26	16.0	16.9	-0.89	15.0	14.7	0.28
Jon Barry	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	11	-10	18.3	16.3	2.03	9.2	15.4	-6.19

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	30	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-23	34	15.2	14.6	0.61	17.0	16.3	0.66
Tony Delk	55	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-20	28	13.8	16.2	-2.40	16.6	16.4	0.12
Felton Spencer	15	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-10	8	14.6	14.9	-0.26	15.3	16.7	-1.44
Gerald Madkins	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-9	6	14.7	14.9	-0.23	19.5	14.8	4.77
Todd Fuller	5	5	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.18	-12	0	-12	12.6	14.9	-2.34	11.0	16.8	-5.83
Duane Ferrell	23	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-7	2	13.9	15.1	-1.20	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	14.9	14.6	0.32	15.4	20.0	-4.67
Muggsy Bogues	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	5	-22	15.0	14.8	0.21	13.5	17.8	-4.25
Jason Caffey	56	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	15.6	13.6	1.94	17.5	14.9	2.59
Erick Dampier	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-3	-6	15.0	14.3	0.79	16.7	16.0	0.64
Jim Jackson	86	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.05	-17	5	-22	15.0	12.9	2.12	16.8	13.9	2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0,0	94.6%
LAL 89, DEN 68	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.25,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SAC 95, NJN 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%