NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	2.9 [1149]		MVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): +1.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.3 [1119]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -15.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	52%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Keith Closs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	6	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	-0.02	2	0.00	8	37%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	15	36%	-0.04	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.01	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	0.00	0.04	10	46%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.00	-0.04	12	21%	-0.11	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	15	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	22	41%	0.03	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kebu Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	20	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	24.5	15.7	24.2	1.8	24.4	115.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.4%

PHI +6.2%

PHI +0.9%

PHI +16.8%

PHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.6	83.0	96.9	102.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.0	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.0	13.5	15.7	14.7	15.4
PHI	14.0	14.2	15.6	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Collins	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-16	17	14.9	15.4	-0.52	14.2	15.0	-0.86
Charles Smith	31	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-15	15	14.8	15.6	-0.80	17.1	13.8	3.27
Stojko Vrankovic	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-14	13	14.8	16.0	-1.18	13.2	16.9	-3.71
Darrick Martin	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-7	-1	16.8	14.1	2.74	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Keith Closs	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-8	1	15.1	15.6	-0.54	16.4	13.7	2.64
Lorenzen Wright	50	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-2	-11	16.3	14.3	1.94	15.1	14.7	0.34
Pooh Richardson	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-8	1	14.1	16.8	-2.74	15.0	14.8	0.22
Lamond Murray	70	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-10	5	15.6	14.7	0.84	15.2	14.1	1.09
James Robinson	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	0	-15	15.6	14.8	0.80	13.8	17.1	-3.27
Ike Austin	58	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	5	-25	15.1	15.8	-0.66	15.1	14.7	0.35

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-7	29	14.1	18.0	-3.89	15.9	13.6	2.25
Theo Ratliff	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-2	19	16.3	11.7	4.62	16.1	13.7	2.31
Allen Iverson	81	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	0	15	15.0	14.3	0.69	15.2	16.5	-1.38
Joe Smith	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	0	15	16.3	13.6	2.75	14.4	16.3	-1.85
Eric Snow	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	3	9	14.2	15.5	-1.27	15.8	15.0	0.82
Aaron McKie	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	7	1	15.7	14.3	1.34	17.3	13.9	3.45
Tim Thomas	40	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	9	-3	16.1	14.1	2.03	17.0	14.1	2.94
Scott Williams	38	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.37	-8	23	-31	14.4	15.3	-0.91	13.3	16.7	-3.39
Anthony Parker	27	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	21	-27	13.7	15.4	-1.64	12.1	16.5	-4.42
Mark Davis	12	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	18	-21	8.8	15.8	-6.95	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Kebu Stewart	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	11.0	15.2	-4.22	13.2	15.5	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
PHI 78, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 93, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%