NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	7.6 [282]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +21.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	88		Comeback	2.4 [480]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -22.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Morris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	86%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Karl Malone	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
John Stockton	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.10	-0.15	-0.02	10	35%	-0.15	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.16	0.00	5	82%	0.24	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.19	0.00	11	57%	0.29	1	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	11	69%	0.21	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	5	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.09	-0.03	19	37%	-0.07	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	71.6	1.8	28.3	17.4	24.2	0.2	33.9	177.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +61.6%

UTA -21.8%

SEA +19.5%

UTA -16.7%

SEA +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	17.9	16.8	15.6	103.6	106.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.3		108.1	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.9		102.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.5	17.6	17.1	18.5	17.9
SEA	15.8	16.7	16.4	18.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Morris	28	26	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.14	6	-8	14	18.5	17.6	0.92	18.0	16.3	1.74
Shandon Anderson	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-8	14	18.0	17.8	0.26	18.0	15.7	2.25
John Stockton	55	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-8	14	18.1	17.4	0.70	15.8	18.8	-2.98
Greg Foster	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	3	-8	18.6	17.1	1.52	16.9	16.7	0.20
Bryon Russell	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	17.3	18.7	-1.42	17.7	15.6	2.11
Adam Keefe	44	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	7	-16	18.2	17.5	0.71	16.5	17.2	-0.65
Howard Eisley	28	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	6	-14	17.4	18.1	-0.70	18.1	16.1	2.02
Karl Malone	65	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	0	-2	17.8	18.3	-0.49	15.9	19.9	-4.00
Jeff Hornacek	54	55	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.57	-7	5	-12	17.2	19.2	-1.97	15.9	18.5	-2.55

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	49	48	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.52	9	-7	16	15.4	18.8	-3.32	18.4	17.1	1.29
Nate McMillan	28	28	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.59	5	-3	8	19.1	15.6	3.47	16.9	18.4	-1.45
Gary Payton	71	70	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-6	14	16.0	21.6	-5.58	17.9	17.7	0.24
Vin Baker	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	16.3	18.4	-2.16	18.0	17.7	0.27
Detlef Schrempf	66	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	1	0	16.0	19.8	-3.72	18.2	17.0	1.16
Sam Perkins	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	0	2	18.3	16.0	2.36	17.3	18.2	-0.89
Jim McIlvaine	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	2	-2	15.5	17.4	-1.96	20.2	16.9	3.29
Greg Anthony	17	18	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	8	-14	20.0	16.0	4.02	16.7	18.2	-1.56
Dale Ellis	39	40	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.21	-5	7	-12	17.6	16.1	1.52	17.7	18.0	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.39,0.34,0.57,0.85,1	91.2%
MEM 87, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.72,1	91.1%
UTA 82, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	90.3%