NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	1.8 [1254]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +12.2%
Indiana Pacers	133		Comeback	1.0 [870]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -7.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	9	84%	0.04	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	10	60%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	11	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	12	75%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	11	57%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	14	26%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	11	22%	-0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.23	0.00	0.11	11	104%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	9	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.17	0.00	0.12	16	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	77%	0.02	1	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.09	10	71%	-0.01	1	0.00	8	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.9	1.8	29.2	15.4	29.3	2.0	24.2	121.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.1%

IND +5.4%

CHH -4.2%

IND +6.2%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	IND	NBA	CHH	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.6	104.3	140.0	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		104.0	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.9		99.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	18.0	16.5	15.9	14.9	16.3
IND	12.2	15.5	14.8	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Beck	19	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.17	-6	-31	25	16.1	16.4	-0.33	15.8	14.2	1.60
B.J. Armstrong	16	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	-31	25	14.4	16.7	-2.27	15.3	14.4	0.97
J.R. Reid	34	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.34	-17	-20	3	16.1	16.5	-0.41	15.7	13.8	1.85
Dell Curry	36	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.39	-19	-18	-1	15.6	16.8	-1.16	15.7	13.8	1.90
Vlade Divac	49	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.24	-14	-23	9	16.9	15.7	1.25	15.7	13.1	2.64
Vernon Maxwell	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.35	-19	-18	-1	16.2	16.4	-0.16	15.6	13.5	2.06
Bobby Phills	48	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.22	-18	-19	1	16.6	16.0	0.65	13.5	15.6	-2.06
Matt Geiger	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.35	-23	-14	-9	15.7	16.9	-1.25	13.1	15.7	-2.64
Anthony Mason	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	-17	-3	16.5	16.1	0.41	13.8	15.7	-1.85
Glen Rice	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	-17	-3	16.5	16.1	0.41	13.8	15.7	-1.85
David Wesley	56	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	-14	-9	17.0	15.2	1.84	13.8	15.6	-1.77

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	40	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	16	5	13.6	15.2	-1.58	17.8	15.3	2.51
Chris Mullin	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.19	17	20	-3	13.1	15.6	-2.54	17.3	15.5	1.79
Dale Davis	57	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.15	15	22	-7	13.9	15.5	-1.60	16.5	16.0	0.53
Mark Jackson	49	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	23	-9	13.7	15.4	-1.66	16.7	16.0	0.69
Antonio Davis	33	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.33	20	17	3	15.5	14.0	1.58	18.0	15.4	2.58
Rik Smits	49	47	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	25	-13	13.9	15.2	-1.28	16.4	16.2	0.18
Travis Best	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.45	23	14	9	15.4	13.7	1.66	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Derrick McKey	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.20	14	23	-9	16.7	13.4	3.30	17.6	15.6	1.97
Jalen Rose	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.55	25	12	13	15.4	13.7	1.76	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Fred Hoiberg	55	54	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.36	16	21	-5	15.2	13.6	1.58	15.3	17.8	-2.51
Austin Croshere	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	32	-27	14.2	14.6	-0.33	11.4	17.0	-5.63
Mark Pope	14	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	34	-31	13.3	14.7	-1.44	11.4	17.0	-5.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
NJN 92, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
HOU 75, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%