NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	83		Excitement	2.4 [1202]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +9.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	109		Comeback	1.0 [1255]		LVP	Otis Thorpe (SAC): -8.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	12	67%	0.07	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	11	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	55%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	18	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	2	117%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	14	65%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	60%	0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.07	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	42%	-0.03	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	49.7	1.8	25.0	15.0	23.0	2.0	25.2	141.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +26.0%

SEA +4.9%

SEA +5.2%

SEA +11.4%

SEA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.3	15.6	91.2	119.8	102.5
season	15.2	15.3		98.5	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.3		102.3	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	15.0	20.1	11.6	15.3
SEA	14.2	18.6	14.8	17.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	51	52	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-29	32	13.9	17.1	-3.23	16.5	16.0	0.49
Olden Polynice	38	38	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-31	36	15.0	15.6	-0.63	16.3	16.3	-0.08
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	69	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-25	24	14.6	17.5	-2.91	16.4	16.1	0.28
Mark Hendrickson	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-24	22	13.4	18.1	-4.70	17.5	14.5	3.02
Terry Dehere	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-17	8	14.5	16.2	-1.76	16.9	15.7	1.21
Michael Stewart	19	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-13	0	12.1	16.2	-4.09	18.8	15.6	3.19
Otis Thorpe	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	-8	-10	17.8	13.9	3.84	14.8	17.1	-2.29
Billy Owens	41	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.34	-24	-2	-22	18.2	13.0	5.24	14.8	17.5	-2.65
Corliss Williamson	37	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.33	-29	3	-32	16.9	14.3	2.66	15.8	16.6	-0.83
Anthony Johnson	67	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.57	-42	16	-58	16.6	11.9	4.71	15.8	17.5	-1.72

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.52	38	-12	50	15.5	17.7	-2.28	17.2	12.0	5.24
Detlef Schrempf	60	61	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.37	29	-3	32	16.4	16.0	0.42	16.4	13.2	3.14
Hersey Hawkins	61	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.50	33	-7	40	16.1	16.7	-0.59	16.1	13.7	2.47
Vin Baker	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.56	34	-8	42	15.9	17.0	-1.02	16.5	13.2	3.27
Sam Perkins	23	22	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	14	-2	17.2	16.0	1.16	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Jim McIlvaine	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.30	18	8	10	15.7	16.7	-0.96	19.2	13.2	5.98
Dale Ellis	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	33	-40	16.7	16.1	0.59	13.7	16.1	-2.47
Aaron Williams	40	40	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	28	-30	16.7	16.0	0.66	12.9	17.2	-4.27
Jerome Kersey	46	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	28	-30	16.3	16.3	-0.01	13.4	17.3	-3.90
George Zidek	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	37	-48	16.2	16.3	-0.16	9.6	16.1	-6.49
Greg Anthony	34	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.27	-12	38	-50	17.7	15.5	2.28	11.9	17.4	-5.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
UTA 96, HOU 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 86, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%