NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	8.9 [117]		MVP	Andrew DeClercq (BOS): +17.6%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	6.1 [121]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -46.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.09	-0.03	11	54%	0.14	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.03
Malik Sealy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	11	61%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.05
Don Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	63%	0.07	4	-0.15	12	75%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	10	20%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.16	-0.14	0.01	11	44%	-0.18	4	-0.13	12	58%	-0.08

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.13	0.00	4	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	87%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Minor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.04	-0.00	5	36%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.15	-0.02	17	44%	-0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.21,-0.27,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.36,-0.36,-0.47	-0.47	-0.28	-0.20	-0.01	25	35%	-0.17	8	-0.29	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	26.2	15.4	29.5	2.4	41.5	143.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +17.1%

DET +26.1%

DET +6.3%

DET +4.9%

BOS -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.6	102.1	96.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		102.8	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.9		103.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	15.1	16.6	16.1	16.0
BOS	11.3	16.2	12.7	19.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	61	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-9	22	14.6	18.5	-3.85	15.8	12.0	3.81
Lindsey Hunter	64	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.48	6	-2	8	16.6	14.7	1.90	15.3	12.8	2.51
Malik Sealy	37	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-9	22	14.9	16.7	-1.80	18.5	12.0	6.49
Grant Hill	86	86	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.37	1	3	-2	16.3	12.1	4.19	14.2	17.9	-3.71
Rick Mahorn	16	15	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	-3	10	14.6	16.2	-1.61	19.5	13.6	5.87
Bison Dele	76	78	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.27	-3	7	-10	16.3	14.3	2.01	13.7	18.2	-4.45
Joe Dumars	65	66	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	16	-28	17.1	13.4	3.63	12.4	19.4	-6.99
Jerome Williams	47	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.8	17.1	-2.26	12.7	16.4	-3.72
Don Reid	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	17.4	15.6	1.77	12.7	14.9	-2.23

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Minor	30	32	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-8	12	11.3	16.0	-4.67	16.9	15.5	1.44
Tyus Edney	46	44	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-10	16	14.5	14.6	-0.14	16.0	15.9	0.12
Kenny Anderson	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	12.1	15.1	-2.98	18.0	15.5	2.53
Walter McCarty	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-7	10	15.0	13.9	1.07	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Travis Knight	43	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	9	-22	15.3	13.9	1.42	13.1	18.2	-5.03
Bruce Bowen	50	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.6	-0.10	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Ron Mercer	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-6	8	14.4	15.1	-0.72	16.3	13.9	2.41
Antoine Walker	86	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.44	1	-5	6	14.4	15.7	-1.26	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Andrew DeClercq	31	32	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	2	-8	16.6	13.5	3.05	18.0	14.9	3.14
Dana Barros	31	32	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	6	-16	16.0	13.8	2.24	14.7	16.6	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.39,0.28,0.03,0.05,0	91.1%
SAS 86, CHA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.62,0.28,0.14,0.16,0	90.5%
SEA 90, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.27,0	90.4%