NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	108		Excitement	8.5 [239]		MVP	Ryan Arcidiacono (CHI): +28.6%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	4.0 [523]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -28.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.15	0.02	12	69%	0.29	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	10	81%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1	-0.00	0.10	-0.00	18	54%	0.21	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
Derrick White	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	8	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.09	-0.03	11	59%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	7	14%	-0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.12	0.01	12	85%	0.32	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	10	85%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	15	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	11	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,-0.05,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.19	0.01	26	48%	-0.13	6	-0.15	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.0	23.2	14.5	23.5	2.3	24.3	112.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.0%

CHI -3.9%

SAS +4.8%

SAS +1.0%

SAS +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	14.3	109.1	107.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.6		111.7	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.4	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	14.8	14.2	14.8	14.6
CHI	13.6	12.9	14.0	17.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	36	36	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-14	29	14.2	14.8	-0.60	16.1	13.4	2.72
Bryn Forbes	58	57	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.58	-1	2	-3	15.1	13.9	1.16	14.5	14.1	0.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.61	-7	8	-15	15.2	13.6	1.67	14.6	14.0	0.56
Derrick White	49	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	-5	11	14.1	15.1	-0.96	14.1	14.6	-0.44
DeMar DeRozan	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.59	-11	12	-23	15.3	13.0	2.32	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Patty Mills	48	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	0	1	13.6	15.5	-1.90	14.8	13.9	0.84
Jakob Poeltl	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	-7	15	13.6	15.2	-1.67	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Marco Belinelli	51	51	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.15	8	-7	15	13.5	15.8	-2.26	14.8	13.8	0.99
Rudy Gay	36	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	4	-7	14.9	14.4	0.53	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Dante Cunningham	48	47	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	12	-23	15.7	13.6	2.14	13.3	15.3	-1.97

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Hutchison	38	38	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	1	-3	15.4	13.7	1.74	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Wendell Carter Jr.	48	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-13	25	13.0	15.6	-2.62	16.0	13.2	2.82
Shaquille Harrison	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	6	-13	16.4	13.3	3.09	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Antonio Blakeney	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	5	-11	17.5	14.1	3.36	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Zach LaVine	74	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.49	11	-12	23	13.3	17.3	-4.06	15.3	12.7	2.54
Justin Holiday	79	76	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-7	13	13.6	17.0	-3.37	14.9	13.6	1.30
Ryan Arcidiacono	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.54	7	-8	15	13.6	16.6	-2.95	15.1	12.9	2.23
Cameron Payne	19	19	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	13	-27	17.6	13.6	4.00	11.2	15.4	-4.20
Robin Lopez	52	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	12	-25	15.6	13.0	2.62	13.2	16.0	-2.82
Jabari Parker	74	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-2	3	14.3	14.5	-0.16	14.8	14.1	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.39,0.28,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	91.6%
ORL 106, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.1,0,0	91.6%
MIL 108, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	91.5%