NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	7.2 [360]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +17.0%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	5.2 [111]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -28.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.00	11	77%	0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.01	20	66%	0.13	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Anthony Mason	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	86%	0.20	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
J.R. Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.01	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	56%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Bobby Phills	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	10	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	1	83%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	18	55%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.09	0.01	19	53%	0.16	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.20	-0.02	17	45%	-0.20	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	27.4	15.5	25.2	1.7	37.4	134.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +58.5%

CHH +13.4%

CHH +10.3%

NJN -35.1%

CHH +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	119.8	111.1	102.5
season	15.7	15.6		104.0	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.5	14.6	17.1	15.8	16.0
NJN	13.5	16.0	18.9	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	76	77	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.26	22	-13	35	15.9	16.5	-0.59	16.5	12.2	4.31
Glen Rice	76	77	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-5	19	16.4	14.1	2.29	16.1	14.2	1.89
Anthony Mason	78	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-2	13	16.5	12.6	3.92	16.1	13.8	2.31
Matt Geiger	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	4	1	16.5	15.0	1.49	16.0	15.5	0.53
Bobby Phills	75	73	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	3	3	15.9	16.1	-0.18	16.4	13.6	2.71
J.R. Reid	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	13.6	16.7	-3.09	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Vlade Divac	24	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	9	-9	15.0	16.3	-1.33	14.6	16.2	-1.60
Travis Williams	14	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	10	-11	12.4	16.6	-4.19	12.9	16.3	-3.38
Vernon Maxwell	25	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	17	-25	16.4	15.8	0.58	13.9	16.6	-2.69
Corey Beck	7	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	15	-21	18.9	15.7	3.12	12.4	16.1	-3.70

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	19	20	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.11	10	-19	29	14.8	16.1	-1.27	14.5	16.4	-1.83
Don MacLean	12	14	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-11	13	12.0	16.4	-4.44	12.8	16.6	-3.77
Brian Evans	8	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	16.0	15.8	0.17	13.8	16.2	-2.44
Chris Gatling	39	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	14.6	16.8	-2.21	15.1	16.7	-1.60
Michael Cage	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	0	-9	16.8	14.6	2.26	16.5	15.3	1.17
Sherman Douglas	22	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	0	-9	19.6	14.6	4.96	17.5	15.5	1.95
Sam Cassell	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	15.3	18.2	-2.95	15.6	17.6	-1.98
Kerry Kittles	80	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	15.5	18.9	-3.44	16.4	12.4	4.02
Keith Van Horn	77	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	-2	-5	16.5	12.2	4.22	16.9	11.9	5.04
Kendall Gill	69	69	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.28	-15	6	-21	15.9	15.6	0.29	15.9	16.3	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.39,0.29,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.09,0	90.9%
PHI 104, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.28,0.11,0.02,0	90.5%
LAC 96, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.1,0	90.0%