NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	83		Excitement	7.9 [226]		MVP	Jim Jackson (GSW): +8.5%
Golden State Warriors	90		Comeback	2.8 [65]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -38.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Geary	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.02	0.05	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	6	14%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	8	53%	0.01	5	-0.25	1	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.2,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28	-0.13	-0.12	0.03	24	58%	0.07	10	-0.35	12	75%	0.03
David Robinson	-0.39	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.38,-0.38,-0.39	-0.25	-0.15	-0.01	17	37%	-0.20	5	-0.19	14	43%	-0.11

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.02	18	68%	0.21	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	14	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.15	0.03	19	40%	-0.16	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	26.0	14.8	22.5	1.0	37.0	127.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +13.9%

SAS -2.8%

SAS -2.7%

GSW +41.2%

GSW +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.6	83.8	90.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		100.9	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.9		102.8	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	14.2	14.2	14.0	14.6
GSW	12.2	15.2	15.2	14.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	14	13	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.00	9	-16	25	12.9	14.9	-2.05	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Will Perdue	41	42	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-10	13	13.5	15.4	-1.88	14.6	14.1	0.46
Reggie Geary	11	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	15.8	14.5	1.35	11.9	14.6	-2.70
Monty Williams	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-4	1	15.6	14.1	1.57	14.9	14.0	0.83
Jaren Jackson	40	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	13.0	15.7	-2.71	13.7	14.8	-1.14
Vinny Del Negro	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-8	9	15.6	13.1	2.46	14.7	13.9	0.81
David Robinson	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	15.6	12.5	3.10	14.7	13.6	1.04
Avery Johnson	88	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.5	15.8	-1.35	14.6	11.9	2.70
Tim Duncan	93	95	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	14.6	15.2	-0.59	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Chuck Person	45	45	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.31	-13	6	-19	14.1	15.0	-0.89	13.5	15.0	-1.45

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	89	88	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	14.2	15.5	-1.37	14.1	18.5	-4.42
Erick Dampier	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	1	5	14.4	14.3	0.11	14.9	14.2	0.68
Clar. Weatherspoon	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.38	3	4	-1	15.3	11.6	3.75	15.0	13.4	1.57
Donyell Marshall	83	81	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	13.8	16.7	-2.86	14.2	16.4	-2.23
Tony Delk	42	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	6	-5	15.3	13.6	1.65	15.3	14.1	1.19
Muggsy Bogues	73	73	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	0	7	13.4	16.9	-3.45	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Jason Caffey	40	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	6	-5	14.5	14.2	0.32	15.4	14.1	1.27
Felton Spencer	38	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	6	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.11	14.2	14.9	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	92.9%
CHI 102, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.86,0.64,0.9,0.99,1	92.6%
NYK 101, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.96,1	92.4%