NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	3.0 [1145]		MVP	Brooks Thompson (NYK): +10.0%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.7 [738]		LVP	Armen Gilliam (MIL): -5.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Lang	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	19	62%	0.09	7	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	9	40%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	73%	-0.00	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	24	53%	0.04	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	85%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	9	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	16	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	69%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	79%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Bowie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	10	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.5	29.5	15.6	26.2	2.4	26.6	123.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.6%

NYK +4.8%

MIL -4.9%

NYK +13.2%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	17.1	15.6	104.7	118.6	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		101.1	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.1		98.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.5	18.5	15.8	14.7	16.3
NYK	17.0	16.7	16.9	18.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Litterial Green	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-15	18	14.2	16.7	-2.59	18.1	17.0	1.10
Andrew Lang	31	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-13	14	16.6	16.2	0.46	17.1	17.2	-0.11
Ervin Johnson	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-1	-10	17.8	15.6	2.23	16.9	17.2	-0.31
Michael Curry	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-13	14	15.8	17.3	-1.47	17.2	17.1	0.12
Armen Gilliam	14	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	0	-12	21.0	15.4	5.56	14.5	17.6	-3.06
Elliot Perry	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	16.0	16.8	-0.76	17.8	16.2	1.58
Tyrone Hill	72	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	0	-12	15.9	18.7	-2.83	17.3	16.3	0.98
Glenn Robinson	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	16.2	18.4	-2.18	16.9	20.4	-3.46
Ray Allen	86	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	16.3	0.0	16.35	17.1	0.0	17.14

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	41	41	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-2	16	16.4	17.8	-1.43	16.5	16.2	0.22
Terry Cummings	39	41	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	0	12	16.3	17.8	-1.48	16.8	15.9	0.87
Allan Houston	66	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	3	6	16.5	19.2	-2.68	16.0	17.6	-1.65
Charles Oakley	68	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	0	12	16.7	18.8	-2.07	16.0	17.9	-1.98
Charlie Ward	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	4	4	16.7	18.1	-1.49	15.7	17.8	-2.13
Larry Johnson	57	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	5	2	18.9	13.7	5.21	16.9	15.3	1.66
Brooks Thompson	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	11	-10	17.6	16.9	0.69	17.2	15.9	1.36
Chris Mills	65	64	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	11	-10	18.2	13.7	4.53	16.7	15.5	1.20
Anthony Bowie	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	12.2	17.4	-5.24	13.7	16.5	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 77, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MEM 83, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DET 99, BKN 103	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,1	96.2%