NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	7.8 [243]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +13.1%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.2 [225]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -26.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.14,0.13	-0.04	0.15	-0.02	7	55%	0.21	2	-0.08	6	33%	-0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.08	0.03	14	72%	0.22	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	18	52%	0.04	1	0.03	6	100%	0.02
Vincent Askew	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Brian Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	2	80%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Rick Brunson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	17	60%	0.10	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Walt Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	5	58%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.05	0.03	8	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	10	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	14	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	8	22%	-0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.25,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	26	48%	-0.18	3	-0.09	17	88%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	2.6	27.6	14.7	25.3	2.7	40.7	133.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +97.8%

CHI -18.4%

CHI -10.6%

CHI -21.6%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.5	15.6	115.2	111.0	102.5
season	15.9	16.2		101.9	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.4		97.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	18.4	15.0	15.7	15.9
CHI	14.6	14.4	20.2	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	74	71	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-6	17	15.9	15.9	0.00	16.3	12.8	3.50
Brian Grant	50	52	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-3	11	16.0	15.9	0.03	14.3	17.2	-2.94
Rasheed Wallace	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	2	1	15.7	18.1	-2.42	15.7	14.1	1.60
Damon Stoudamire	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	0	5	15.1	20.5	-5.48	15.3	16.9	-1.60
Isaiah Rider	82	79	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	15.6	18.6	-2.98	15.6	15.2	0.32
Stacey Augmon	39	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	4	-3	13.8	17.5	-3.78	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Jermaine O'Neal	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	4	-3	20.9	15.5	5.32	17.6	15.3	2.30
Rick Brunson	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	20.5	15.1	5.48	16.9	15.3	1.60
Vincent Askew	1	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	6	-7	32.0	15.8	16.23	0.5	15.9	-15.37
Walt Williams	33	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	11	-17	18.4	14.6	3.86	16.3	15.1	1.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	58	58	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.12	12	-17	29	14.4	17.5	-3.12	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Jud Buechler	7	7	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-14	23	13.3	15.7	-2.43	21.7	15.5	6.24
Bill Wennington	16	15	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-8	11	13.7	15.9	-2.16	18.6	15.4	3.17
Scott Burrell	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-10	15	15.1	15.8	-0.73	16.6	15.6	1.02
Dennis Rodman	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-7	9	15.6	15.3	0.36	17.8	12.4	5.42
Randy Brown	20	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	8	-21	17.3	15.0	2.27	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Ron Harper	40	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	5	-15	17.5	14.0	3.52	15.7	16.2	-0.55
Michael Jordan	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-5	5	15.2	18.8	-3.61	15.6	19.1	-3.51
Luc Longley	68	70	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.26	-17	12	-29	16.2	13.6	2.57	14.8	19.6	-4.79
Scottie Pippen	71	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	11	-27	15.4	16.1	-0.73	15.1	18.3	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.16,0	92.7%
NOK 100, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.29,0.4,0.19,0.37,0.34,0.16,0	92.3%
SAS 85, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.17,0	92.3%