NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	5.8 [609]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +11.4%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.3 [479]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -25.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	83%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	74%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Jon Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	22	48%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.10
Kobe Bryant	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.19	-0.00	-0.02	8	36%	-0.04	6	-0.12	6	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	14	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	3	70%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	17	32%	-0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.10	0.01	23	37%	-0.16	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	30.1	16.4	24.4	2.5	31.2	132.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.0%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +2.0%

IND -3.4%

IND -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	15.9	15.6	101.1	92.7	102.5
season	14.8	16.0		110.0	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.6		99.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.1	14.4	14.2	16.4	14.2
IND	16.7	16.9	14.6	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	80	81	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.22	16	-9	25	14.2	14.3	-0.15	16.1	15.0	1.11
Eddie Jones	62	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.06	21	-14	35	13.9	14.8	-0.84	16.9	14.0	2.91
Robert Horry	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	1	5	14.2	14.2	0.09	16.3	15.3	0.97
Rick Fox	77	77	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	13.8	16.0	-2.21	15.4	17.9	-2.51
Derek Fisher	87	88	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	9	-11	14.5	10.6	3.92	15.8	17.5	-1.70
Kobe Bryant	46	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	8	-9	14.1	14.3	-0.16	15.0	16.8	-1.84
Jon Barry	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	0.0	14.2	-14.21	2.0	16.1	-14.08
Corie Blount	28	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	13.9	14.3	-0.45	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Elden Campbell	33	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	12	-17	15.2	13.7	1.58	16.6	15.5	1.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	3	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-2	-3	17.0	15.9	1.10	15.0	14.2	0.82
Derrick McKey	36	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	16.2	15.8	0.46	14.7	13.9	0.77
Reggie Miller	80	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-7	7	15.8	16.7	-0.90	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Travis Best	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	16.1	15.9	0.19	15.3	13.8	1.46
Mark Jackson	71	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-5	3	15.9	16.1	-0.19	13.8	15.3	-1.46
Antonio Davis	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	1	-9	16.0	15.9	0.15	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Chris Mullin	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	15.5	17.1	-1.60	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Jalen Rose	19	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	1	-9	16.6	15.8	0.87	14.3	14.2	0.18
Rik Smits	64	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-4	1	16.0	15.7	0.28	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Dale Davis	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-7	7	16.0	15.7	0.33	14.8	12.1	2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 100, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	93.4%
PHI 106, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.0%
SAC 104, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	92.7%