NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	6.7 [442]		MVP	Cherokee Parks (MIN): +8.3%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.9 [672]		LVP	Will Perdue (SAS): -13.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	82%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.03	13	52%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Tom Hammonds	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.03	14	63%	0.05	3	-0.11	10	100%	0.05
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.03	22	52%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Chris Carr	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	7	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	12	72%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Jaren Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	20	53%	0.04	6	-0.16	13	62%	-0.05
Will Perdue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	10	48%	-0.02	4	-0.12	5	40%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	107.7	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.4	0.0	38.7	147.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.0%

MIN -5.7%

SAS +32.3%

MIN -15.1%

SAS +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	12.7	16.0	15.6	98.0	105.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		105.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.7		97.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.3	14.7	13.5	10.6	12.7
SAS	15.8	15.3	17.2	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Roberts	38	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.25	9	-15	24	13.5	12.2	1.26	18.6	14.3	4.35
Terry Porter	66	68	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-13	20	12.2	13.7	-1.58	14.6	18.9	-4.29
Cherokee Parks	35	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	12.5	12.8	-0.35	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Sam Mitchell	73	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-3	0	12.4	13.6	-1.29	14.7	19.2	-4.47
Chris Carr	17	17	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	4	-14	13.8	12.5	1.26	19.8	15.2	4.65
Kevin Garnett	85	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	13.0	11.2	1.74	15.5	18.8	-3.34
Anthony Peeler	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	1	-8	12.5	13.0	-0.42	16.7	15.0	1.74
Tom Hammonds	49	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	0	-6	12.7	12.7	0.00	17.4	14.7	2.77
Stephon Marbury	84	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	6	-18	12.8	12.2	0.64	15.5	17.8	-2.26

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	47	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-3	12	15.2	16.6	-1.41	11.9	13.4	-1.43
Avery Johnson	93	93	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	15.8	18.1	-2.35	12.7	13.1	-0.45
Will Perdue	79	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-1	8	16.1	15.4	0.67	13.6	8.9	4.69
Tim Duncan	74	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	5	-4	16.0	15.8	0.26	12.5	13.5	-0.99
Jaren Jackson	58	60	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-4	14	14.2	18.4	-4.13	13.3	11.8	1.49
Vinny Del Negro	80	80	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	7	-8	16.2	14.8	1.45	12.4	14.0	-1.56
Carl Herrera	40	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	2	2	17.7	14.8	2.90	12.2	13.0	-0.87
Reggie Geary	7	8	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	4	-2	18.1	15.8	2.35	13.1	12.7	0.45
Monty Williams	22	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	12	-18	17.2	15.6	1.57	12.2	12.9	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 78, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	94.4%
LAC 113, OKC 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.0%
WAS 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%