NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	9.1 [101]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +43.4%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	11.6 [28]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -24.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Mario Bennett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	16	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.08	0.05	-0.12	0.01	15	58%	0.01	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Robert Horry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	16	51%	-0.09	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.11
Kobe Bryant	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,-0.15,-0.24	-0.02	-0.22	0.00	15	51%	-0.09	2	-0.15	5	80%	-0.07

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,0.43	0.43	0.02	0.40	-0.01	20	56%	0.49	1	-0.06	14	79%	0.02
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	0.01	14	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Spud Webb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	11	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	7	56%	-0.03	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.12	0.03	8	60%	-0.06	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	29.3	18.6	31.2	2.5	43.4	153.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.9%

ORL +7.5%

ORL +11.2%

LAL -5.6%

ORL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	18.5	15.6	106.8	110.3	102.5
season	14.8	16.7		110.0	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	14.2	13.6	15.7	14.4
ORL	15.9	21.1	19.7	17.8	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	56	57	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.13	-3	1	-4	14.9	13.6	1.35	15.9	23.5	-7.66
Corie Blount	7	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-4	6	13.4	14.5	-1.08	45.2	16.9	28.31
Shaquille O'Neal	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-6	10	14.3	14.8	-0.55	17.2	22.2	-5.03
Elden Campbell	31	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-3	4	14.4	14.4	-0.05	21.5	17.0	4.50
Mario Bennett	18	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	8	-18	17.4	13.7	3.73	14.0	19.8	-5.78
Eddie Jones	79	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.52	7	-9	16	14.1	17.1	-3.00	19.3	12.1	7.15
Kobe Bryant	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-5	8	14.9	13.2	1.69	19.0	17.2	1.77
Rick Fox	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-1	0	14.2	15.8	-1.64	18.0	21.5	-3.46
Robert Horry	43	43	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.44	-13	11	-24	13.2	15.6	-2.32	19.6	17.4	2.20

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Schayes	45	45	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.38	15	-13	28	17.1	20.0	-2.87	15.2	13.7	1.50
Derek Harper	75	75	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-13	28	19.0	15.4	3.60	14.6	13.5	1.13
Nick Anderson	70	73	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-4	10	19.2	15.9	3.27	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Bo Outlaw	87	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	18.5	0.0	18.52	14.4	0.0	14.42
Horace Grant	79	79	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.39	-8	10	-18	18.6	18.1	0.43	13.8	19.8	-5.97
Derek Strong	50	52	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	5	-8	19.7	16.9	2.78	14.7	14.0	0.71
Gerald Wilkins	25	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	13	-24	17.2	19.1	-1.90	15.3	14.1	1.20
Spud Webb	4	3	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	8	-14	6.5	19.1	-12.60	13.0	14.5	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.75,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.37,0.69,0.92,1	89.9%
PHI 87, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.67,0.38,0.39,0.15,0.58,1	89.8%
CLE 107, BKN 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.42,1	89.8%