NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	2.4 [1201]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +3.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.0 [1250]		LVP	Todd Fuller (GSW): -9.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	20	59%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	15	53%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	-0.00	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Brandon Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	6	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	10	26%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	14	29%	-0.05	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	10	54%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.04	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.02	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	15	63%	0.04	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	65%	0.02	5	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	4	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	7	22%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.5	23.3	14.8	28.3	2.4	28.6	128.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.0%

POR +10.0%

POR +3.0%

POR +4.5%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	15.6	85.6	103.1	102.5
season	15.6	15.9		92.9	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		100.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.6	15.7	14.3	14.0	15.5
POR	14.1	13.1	14.5	14.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	44	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.54	16	-34	50	14.3	16.6	-2.25	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Felton Spencer	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-18	18	15.1	15.8	-0.68	13.4	14.3	-0.90
Bimbo Coles	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-14	10	15.8	15.4	0.43	13.4	14.4	-0.97
Brandon Williams	42	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-17	16	14.2	16.6	-2.35	15.0	13.2	1.77
Adonal Foyle	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.37	-19	1	-20	15.9	15.4	0.52	14.1	13.9	0.18
David Vaughn	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-9	0	15.9	15.2	0.68	14.6	13.5	1.15
Muggsy Bogues	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.34	-22	4	-26	16.0	15.1	0.90	13.2	14.7	-1.51
Tony Delk	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-9	0	15.9	14.7	1.18	14.2	13.5	0.77
Erick Dampier	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	0	-18	15.8	15.1	0.68	14.3	13.4	0.90
Donyell Marshall	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	6	-30	15.9	14.5	1.38	13.6	15.2	-1.68

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	71	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-2	22	14.1	13.6	0.51	16.4	13.4	2.98
Arvydas Sabonis	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.25	23	-5	28	13.4	14.8	-1.41	16.2	14.6	1.51
Jermaine O'Neal	72	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	3	12	13.8	14.4	-0.58	15.3	16.1	-0.78
Walt Williams	49	49	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-1	20	13.8	14.2	-0.45	16.2	14.9	1.25
Rasheed Wallace	57	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	2	14	14.5	13.2	1.30	16.3	14.3	1.98
Isaiah Rider	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	6	6	13.3	15.2	-1.91	15.8	15.1	0.74
Brian Grant	31	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.10	10	8	2	13.7	14.1	-0.42	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Kelvin Cato	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	23	-28	14.8	13.4	1.41	14.6	16.2	-1.51
Rick Brunson	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	29	-40	14.3	13.8	0.51	13.5	16.9	-3.49
Carlos Rogers	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	15.8	13.7	2.09	13.5	15.8	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, NJN 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	97.6%
DEN 114, PHX 128	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NYK 89, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%